The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE:TG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Tredegar
What Is Tredegar's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tredegar had US$7.00m of debt in September 2020, down from US$68.0m, one year before. However, it does have US$35.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$28.0m.
A Look At Tredegar's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tredegar had liabilities of US$147.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$131.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$35.0m in cash and US$82.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$161.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Tredegar is worth US$547.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Tredegar also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Unfortunately, Tredegar's EBIT flopped 14% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tredegar will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Tredegar may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Tredegar actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing up
Although Tredegar's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$28.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 109% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$69m. So we are not troubled with Tredegar's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tredegar , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NYSE:TG
Tredegar
Manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, polyethylene (PE) films, and plastic and polyester films in the United States and internationally.
Slightly overvalued very low.