Stock Analysis

Here's Why Rayonier Advanced Materials (NYSE:RYAM) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NYSE:RYAM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (NYSE:RYAM) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rayonier Advanced Materials

How Much Debt Does Rayonier Advanced Materials Carry?

As you can see below, Rayonier Advanced Materials had US$776.1m of debt at December 2023, down from US$851.4m a year prior. However, it also had US$75.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$700.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RYAM Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Rayonier Advanced Materials' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Rayonier Advanced Materials had liabilities of US$375.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.06b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$75.8m as well as receivables valued at US$216.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.14b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$290.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Rayonier Advanced Materials would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Rayonier Advanced Materials's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.089, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, Rayonier Advanced Materials saw its EBIT tank 83% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Rayonier Advanced Materials's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last two years, Rayonier Advanced Materials burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Rayonier Advanced Materials's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It looks to us like Rayonier Advanced Materials carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Rayonier Advanced Materials that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.