Olin Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 3/6
Olin is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 4.67%.
Key information
4.7%
Dividend yield
0.9%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 5.5% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Growth | 0% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | -46% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 09
OLN: Huntsman Merger And Softer Basics Will Define Balanced Return Outlook
The analyst price target for Olin has been reduced from $21 to $19 as analysts factor in weaker chlor alkali fundamentals, softer caustic soda pricing, and concerns around the proposed Huntsman merger. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Olin points to a more cautious stance from several firms.Seeking Alpha • Aug 26
Olin: One-Time Problems Are A Buying Opportunity
Summary Olin remains a valuable opportunity despite operational setbacks, sector headwinds, and a 12% share price decline over the past year. OLN's Q2 was impacted by a $40M Freeport outage, weak demand, and working capital drag, but its epoxy and ammunition businesses showed resilience. The pending Huntsman merger, expected by mid-2027, should drive $250M in cost synergies and improve OLN's free cash flow and leverage profile. With a 15% free cash flow yield and a secure 4.3% dividend, I view OLN as a compelling 'self-help' story for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 26
OLN: Huntsman Merger Will Rebalance Cyclical Exposure And Support Post 2027 Upside
Analysts have reduced the price target for Olin to $27.67 from $35.83 as weaker chlor alkali fundamentals, softer caustic soda pricing, and a more muted growth outlook following the planned Huntsman merger weigh on their assumptions for margins and the appropriate P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research on Olin has turned more cautious on near term fundamentals, yet there are still some supportive elements in the recent commentary that matter for valuation and execution.
Narrative Update • Aug 12
OLN: Huntsman Merger And Cost Advantage Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have reduced the Olin fair value estimate from about $26.29 to about $22.38, reflecting lower Street price targets clustered around $20, as well as concerns about softer chlor alkali fundamentals, weaker pricing trends, and a more muted earnings outlook discussed in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Olin shows a clear reset in expectations, with most firms converging around price targets near US$20 and more cautious views on earnings power and the proposed Huntsman merger.Narrative Update • Jul 29
OLN: Huntsman Merger And Softer Basics Are Expected To Reshape Returns
Analysts have trimmed the Olin fair value estimate by $1 to $21, reflecting lower price targets across the Street as they factor in weaker basic chemicals demand, a softer chlor alkali backdrop, and added uncertainty around the Huntsman merger. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Olin points to a more cautious tone as multiple firms recalibrate expectations around pricing, demand and the proposed Huntsman merger.Narrative Update • Jul 14
OLN: Huntsman Merger Will Reshape Earnings Mix And Support Post 2025 Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Olin, reflected in a lower internal fair value estimate from $37.96 to $35.83, as they factor in softer chlor-alkali conditions, oil price moves, and added uncertainty around the Huntsman merger. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Olin highlights a wide range of views, with several firms trimming price targets while others point to potential upside if the company executes on its plans and the Huntsman merger progresses as expected.Narrative Update • Jun 24
OLN: Huntsman Merger Synergies Will Support Post 2025 Earnings Recovery
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Olin higher, with the updated fair value estimate rising from $35.00 to about $37.96. This reflects Street research that highlights revised revenue growth and margin assumptions, tempered by a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Olin (OLN) Stock Could Be 16.3% Undervalued Despite Recent Share Price Weakness
Olin (OLN) has drawn attention after recent share price weakness, with the stock down about 15% over the past month and roughly 7% over the past 3 months. This has prompted closer scrutiny from value-focused investors. See our latest analysis for Olin. At a share price of $22.01, Olin’s recent 30 day share price return of down 15.2% and 7 day return of down 9.1% point to fading short term momentum, even though the 1 year total shareholder return of 17.1% contrasts with a much weaker 3 and 5...Narrative Update • Jun 08
OLN: Reliance On Geopolitical Supply Disruptions Will Likely Fail To Support Shares
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Olin by several dollars, with recent moves such as JPMorgan's shift to $26 and UBS's to $31, generally citing updated models tied to pricing momentum and changes in commodity chemical forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Olin points to a mixed tone, with several firms adjusting models and price targets while keeping ratings such as Neutral in place.Narrative Update • May 24
OLN: Future Pricing Momentum Will Likely Fail To Sustain Current Share Levels
Olin's fair value estimate is updated from $18.00 to $22.00 as analysts lift price targets across the stock, citing factors such as pricing momentum in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Olin has centered on revisions to price targets, with several large firms adjusting their estimates and, in some cases, their ratings.Narrative Update • May 02
OLN: Higher P/E Assumptions And Execution Progress Will Support Post 2025 Recovery
The analyst price target for Olin has been increased from $28 to $35. Analysts cited updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Apr 18
OLN: Commodity Tightness And Buybacks Will Temper Ongoing Earnings Headwinds
Olin's analyst price target has been revised higher from about $22.07 to $26.29. This reflects analysts' updated views on fair value after a series of recent target increases tied to refreshed commodity chemical forecasts and post-earnings model updates.Narrative Update • Apr 03
OLN: Cost Actions And Supply Shifts Will Shape Post 2025 Recovery Path
The analyst price target for Olin has been adjusted to $28.00. Analysts cite updated commodity chemical forecasts, recent earnings model revisions, and changing supply expectations linked to geopolitical disruptions as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Mar 20
OLN: Future Commodity Oversupply And Earnings Pressures Will Constrain Share Performance
Analysts have raised the Olin price target slightly, with updates clustering in the mid $20s as they incorporate revised commodity chemical forecasts related to supply disruptions and recent earnings updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Olin has centered on price target revisions clustered in the low to mid US$20s, with most firms maintaining neutral stances.Narrative Update • Mar 06
OLN: Cost Actions And Early Cycle Catalysts Will Support Post 2025 Recovery
The updated analyst price target for Olin ticks down slightly to about $27.40 from roughly $27.87, as analysts factor in a modestly lower assumed P/E multiple, a small adjustment to expected revenue growth, a slightly higher profit margin assumption, and a reduced discount rate following recent mixed revisions across Street models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Olin has been mixed.Narrative Update • Feb 19
OLN: Earnings Pressures And Commodity Oversupply Will Restrain Share Returns
We are trimming our Olin fair value estimate to $22.07 from $24.73 after analysts reset price targets around $24 on mixed post earnings revisions to revenue growth, profit margins, and assumed future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Street research on Olin has clustered around a price target in the low to mid $20s, with several firms updating models after management flagged short term earnings pressures and a mixed backdrop across commodities and specialties.Narrative Update • Feb 05
OLN: Future Earnings Pressures And Commodity Oversupply Will Weigh On Shares
Our updated narrative on Olin reflects a fair value move from $20.00 to $18.00, in line with a series of recent analyst price target trims that focus on softer revenue trends, lower projected profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a shift to a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Olin has leaned cautious, with a cluster of price target trims over a short period.Narrative Update • Jan 22
OLN: Cost Actions And EDC Deal Will Support Post 2025 Earnings Recovery
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Olin higher overall, with our updated fair value estimate moving by about $1 to $27.87 as they factor in mixed earnings pressures, slightly adjusted growth and margin expectations, and a range of new target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Olin reflects a split view, with some firms trimming targets on near term earnings and demand pressures while more optimistic voices see reasons to keep leaning into the story as conditions eventually stabilize.Narrative Update • Jan 08
OLN: Weaker 2025 Demand Will Set Up Earnings Rebound In 2026
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Olin edges higher to about $29 from roughly $28.70, reflecting a slightly stronger fair value estimate even as analysts highlight weaker near term demand, reduced EBITDA guidance, and a mix of lower targets from UBS and Truist alongside a higher forecast from BofA. Analyst Commentary The latest research on Olin shows a split tape, with some firms cutting targets on weaker demand and others turning more constructive.Narrative Update • Dec 16
OLN: Earnings Recovery Beyond 2025 Will Drive Share Price Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Olin by about $1 to roughly $28.70. This reflects reduced fair value, higher perceived risk, and softer growth and margin expectations, despite some still constructive long term views.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Reflects Cautious Optimism as Olin Faces Mixed Signals and Modest Valuation Gains
Olin's analyst price target has increased from $24.13 to $24.73 per share, reflecting analysts' cautious optimism in light of mixed industry signals and recent adjustments in company forecasts. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Olin remain divided, with both bullish takeaways and areas of caution shaping recent research updates.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Cost Cuts And Global Demand Will Strengthen Operational Resilience
Olin's fair value estimate has increased modestly from $23.47 to $24.13 per share, as analysts revise expectations following lowered growth outlooks. They also note stabilization in key markets and the prospect of improving commercial sales performance.Analysis Article • Sep 21
Investors Will Want Olin's (NYSE:OLN) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Analysis Article • Jul 16
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Olin Corporation (NYSE:OLN)?
Olin Corporation ( NYSE:OLN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 15% on the...Analysis Article • Jun 28
Here's Why Olin (NYSE:OLN) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • May 23
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Olin (NYSE:OLN)
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • May 05
Olin (NYSE:OLN) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.20
Olin Corporation's ( NYSE:OLN ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.20 per share on 13th of June. This makes...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Olin Corporation's (NYSE:OLN) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Olin Corporation ( NYSE:OLN ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last...Analysis Article • Mar 31
Is It Time To Consider Buying Olin Corporation (NYSE:OLN)?
While Olin Corporation ( NYSE:OLN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from...Analysis Article • Mar 13
Here's Why Olin (NYSE:OLN) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
Olin: Selling Off, But Not Necessarily Cheap
Summary Olin's shares have plummeted over 50% in the past year due to weak results, which makes me cautious given the debt assumed. The company operates in commodity-like markets and has a mediocre track record. A recent $75 million acquisition looks ill-timed, but is aimed at capturing synergies, which makes sense from a capital allocation point of view. Given the uncertain economic conditions and high leverage, I remain cautious about Olin's prospects, despite its 3.3% dividend yield and long history of payments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Olin: Shares Are Cheap Even With Subdued Results (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Olin Corporation shares fell 38% in 2024 due to weak Chinese demand and management turnover, creating a potential value opportunity for 2025. Despite ongoing challenges, new management's guidance and cost-cutting plans aim to double EBITDA and return $1 billion annually to shareholders by 2029. The company's financial position allows for incremental growth, with strategic options for its North American PVC business unlikely to be particularly large. With a 10% free cash flow yield and potential 25-30% return, Olin shares are a strong buy, despite market downturns and subdued construction activity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 11
Why We're Not Concerned About Olin Corporation's (NYSE:OLN) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.2x Olin Corporation ( NYSE:OLN ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Analysis Article • Oct 28
Olin (NYSE:OLN) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.20
The board of Olin Corporation ( NYSE:OLN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.20 per share on the 13th of...Seeking Alpha • Oct 27
Olin Corporation: Update For 2024E, A 'Buy' But With A Note
Summary Olin Corporation has underperformed, with my stake down over 20%, but I still see long-term potential despite short-term challenges. 3Q24 results were impacted by Hurricane Beryl and weak Chlor Alkali and Epoxy markets, but lower operating costs and military ammo sales offer some positives. Olin's valuation suggests a conservative "Buy" for the long-term, but better short-term investment options exist; waiting until post-4Q24 for clearer recovery signs is advisable. Despite volatility and macro challenges, I maintain a $65 PT and "Buy" rating, expecting potential upside from credit upgrades and dividend bumps. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 12
We Think Olin (NYSE:OLN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Sep 20
Olin Corporation: Navigating The Trough With A Coiled Spring's Potential Rebound
Summary Olin Corporation faces significant challenges due to a drop in global demand, overinvestment issues, and recent disruptions from Hurricane Beryl, which collectively strained its performance. The company faced a revenue decline and reduced profitability in Q2, but showed sequential improvement in net income along with a gradual reduction in its overall slowdown. Despite current macro challenges, Olin shows promising signs of recovery with growth in key markets, favorable economic trends, and strategic initiatives, suggesting the potential for a rebound in the coming years. Olin's stock shows mixed valuation compared to the broader materials sector, trading at a discount based on trailing metrics but appearing overvalued on forward metrics. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaStability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: OLN's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: OLN's dividend payments have not increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Olin Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (OLN) | 4.7% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.1% |
| Industry Average (Chemicals) | 1.8% |
| Analyst forecast (OLN) (up to 3 years) | 4.8% |
Notable Dividend: OLN's dividend (4.67%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.37%).
High Dividend: OLN's dividend (4.67%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.11%)
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: OLN is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (131%), OLN's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/15 22:08 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Olin Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Leithead | Barclays |
| Bhavesh Lodaya | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| John McNulty | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |