Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

NYSE:HMY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.5b

Harmony Gold Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Harmony Gold Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 30.4% and 6.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.1% in 3 years.

Key information

30.4%

Earnings growth rate

24.8%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth22.3%
Revenue growth rate6.6%
Future return on equity22.1%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Harmony Gold: Striking Gold With Copper

Feb 04

Harmony Gold: Solid Bullish Conviction In The Market. Possible "Dip" Opportunity

Nov 12

Harmony Gold: A High-Cost Miner Significantly Leveraged To Gold Prices

Aug 27

Harmony Gold Mining: Lower Fundamental Risk Comes With Higher Price

Jul 24

Harmony Gold: Rally Continues As Operations Expand And Gold Prices Rise

May 09

Harmony Gold: Bright Outlook And Possible Lower Share Price

Feb 21

Harmony Gold: Shiny Fundamentals, But A Dull 2024 Outlook For Gold

Dec 04

Harmony Gold: I Find The Stock Attractive

Sep 18

Harmony Gold Mining: Looks Attractive Below $4

Jul 10

Harmony Gold: Production In Line With Guidance

Feb 03

Harmony Gold: Unconvincing Margins And Overestimated Price Support

Jan 11

Harmony Gold: An Earnings Recovery Story And A Bullish Technical Picture Shapes Up

Dec 26

Harmony Gold: Acquisition Of A Copper/Gold Project In Australia Makes Sense

Oct 12

Harmony Gold Mining: The Rebound Chance Is Slim But Don't Lose Hope

Sep 24

Harmony Gold Mining GAAP EPS of -$0.08, revenue of $2.8B beats by $130M

Aug 30

Harmony Gold: Needs Higher Gold Prices To Maintain Profitability

Jul 08

Harmony Gold: Hidden Valley's Technical Issues Weighing On Guidance

Mar 21

Harmony Gold: First Quarter 2022 Production Analysis

Jan 08

Harmony Gold: An Inferior Way To Buy The Dip

Jan 01

Harmony Gold: Impressive Results While The Stock Price Underperforms

Sep 03

Harmony Gold: Old Faithful Is Looking Cheap Based On Fundamentals

Jul 19

Harmony Gold: Margins Continue To Improve

May 03

Harmony Gold Mining: Balancing The Equation

Dec 24

Harmony Gold's free cash flow, production surged in Q1

Nov 09

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HMY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ZAR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202774,47223,18613,15525,4005
6/30/202677,38020,98414,70126,8786
6/30/202571,65715,7579,94620,2476
6/30/202461,3798,5877,25215,650N/A
3/31/202459,4058,7446,63414,764N/A
12/31/202357,4318,9016,01613,878N/A
9/30/202353,3536,8614,16211,913N/A
6/30/202349,2754,8202,3089,948N/A
3/31/202346,6142,1109638,128N/A
12/31/202243,953-600-3826,308N/A
9/30/202243,299-8261646,616N/A
6/30/202242,645-1,0527106,924N/A
3/31/202242,371425N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202142,0961,9011,1357,081N/A
9/30/202141,9153,4942,5868,130N/A
6/30/202141,7335,0874,0379,179N/A
3/31/202138,5453,725N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202035,3562,3634,0637,769N/A
9/30/202032,3017432,5886,246N/A
6/30/202029,245-8781,1134,723N/A
3/31/202028,923-1,067N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201928,600-1,256-1444,762N/A
9/30/201927,756-1,931-2504,721N/A
6/30/201926,912-2,607-3574,679N/A
3/31/201925,639-3,998N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201824,366-5,3892964,702N/A
9/30/201822,409-4,931-1954,293N/A
6/30/201820,452-4,473-6873,884N/A
3/31/201820,092-2,376N/A3,803N/A
12/31/201719,271-280N/A3,722N/A
9/30/201719,26841N/A3,763N/A
6/30/201719,494362N/A3,804N/A
3/31/201719,3801,648N/A4,235N/A
12/31/201619,4952,933N/A4,665N/A
9/30/201619,1282,240N/A4,751N/A
6/30/201618,334949N/A4,513N/A
3/31/201617,382-2,899N/A3,678N/A
12/31/201515,996-3,859N/A2,688N/A
9/30/201515,144-4,791N/A1,627N/A
6/30/201515,435-4,536N/A2,006N/A
3/31/201515,337-2,608N/A1,945N/A
12/31/201415,739-2,314N/A2,337N/A
9/30/201416,095-1,549N/A3,074N/A
6/30/201415,682-1,270N/A2,268N/A
3/31/201415,402-3,544N/A2,201N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HMY's forecast earnings growth (30.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HMY's earnings (30.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HMY's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HMY's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HMY's revenue (6.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HMY's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.1%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 23:28
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Herbert KharivheAbsa Bank Limited
Andrew ByrneBarclays
David HaughtonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research