- Earlier in December 2025, FMC Corporation launched “Project Foundation,” a multi-year restructuring that closes higher-cost plants, consolidates production in lower-cost locations, and is expected to cost between US$560 million and US$635 million while targeting US$175 million in annual savings by the end of 2027.
- At the same time, FMC moved to preserve its balance sheet by cutting its regular quarterly dividend to US$0.08 per share and amending its credit agreement, adding tighter leverage and interest coverage covenants and new restrictions on debt and future dividend increases.
- We’ll now examine how this large restructuring plan, with its significant upfront charges and tighter lending covenants, reshapes FMC’s investment narrative.
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FMC Investment Narrative Recap
To own FMC here, you need to believe management can stabilize a pressured crop protection business and convert Project Foundation’s heavy upfront charges into durable cost savings, while keeping lenders onside. Near term, the key catalyst is execution on restructuring and cost takeout, while the biggest risk is that elevated leverage and tighter covenants constrain flexibility if margins stay under pressure from generics and weak pricing.
The sharp cut in FMC’s quarterly dividend to US$0.08 per share and the amended credit agreement both tie directly into that balance sheet risk, reinforcing how much room for error has narrowed. These moves make deleveraging progress and cash generation even more central to the story than before, because any stumble on restructuring or earnings recovery could quickly test the new leverage and interest coverage limits.
But while Project Foundation targets sizable savings, investors should be aware that tighter covenants and higher generic competition could still...
Read the full narrative on FMC (it's free!)
FMC's narrative projects $4.8 billion revenue and $542.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $413 million earnings increase from $129.7 million today.
Uncover how FMC's forecasts yield a $24.92 fair value, a 81% upside to its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$24.92 to US$74.11 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that wide range, FMC’s elevated leverage and stricter lending covenants keep financial flexibility front and center, so it is worth weighing several scenarios before deciding how the business might perform from here.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on FMC - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
Build Your Own FMC Narrative
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your FMC research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free FMC research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate FMC's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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