Eldorado Gold Corporation

NYSE:EGO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.4b

Eldorado Gold Valuation

Is EGO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EGO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EGO ($15.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($50.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EGO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGO?

Key metric: As EGO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EGO. This is calculated by dividing EGO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EGO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.8x
EarningsUS$287.37m
Market CapUS$3.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EGO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EGO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
8.3x-1.6%US$3.1b
AU AngloGold Ashanti
18.9x36.5%US$10.9b
RGLD Royal Gold
33.1xn/aUS$9.8b
DRD DRDGOLD
11.2xn/aUS$834.8m
EGO Eldorado Gold
11.8x27.5%US$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EGO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.7xn/aUS$5.00m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
EGO 11.8xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EGO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EGO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ratio24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EGO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.69
US$20.96
+33.6%
12.6%US$25.13US$16.80n/a7
Nov ’25US$16.34
US$20.79
+27.2%
15.6%US$25.13US$14.34n/a7
Oct ’25US$17.60
US$19.57
+11.2%
12.9%US$23.17US$14.67n/a7
Sep ’25US$17.25
US$18.87
+9.4%
16.0%US$23.10US$12.64n/a7
Aug ’25US$16.75
US$18.72
+11.8%
15.6%US$22.74US$12.64n/a7
Jul ’25US$14.68
US$17.35
+18.2%
16.3%US$21.90US$12.78n/a7
Jun ’25US$16.17
US$17.01
+5.2%
16.8%US$21.90US$12.35n/a7
May ’25US$14.41
US$16.95
+17.6%
16.9%US$21.83US$12.21n/a7
Apr ’25US$14.38
US$14.20
-1.2%
17.0%US$18.49US$9.92n/a7
Mar ’25US$10.83
US$13.91
+28.5%
17.0%US$18.49US$9.92n/a7
Feb ’25US$12.90
US$14.34
+11.2%
18.1%US$19.30US$10.19n/a7
Jan ’25US$12.97
US$13.22
+2.0%
13.7%US$15.47US$10.27n/a7
Dec ’24US$13.52
US$12.67
-6.3%
12.5%US$14.61US$9.97n/a7
Nov ’24US$10.95
US$12.30
+12.3%
16.2%US$14.46US$8.44US$16.347
Oct ’24US$8.91
US$12.81
+43.8%
17.6%US$17.11US$9.02US$17.607
Sep ’24US$9.56
US$12.93
+35.3%
16.9%US$17.11US$9.28US$17.257
Aug ’24US$9.67
US$13.02
+34.6%
16.6%US$17.11US$9.28US$16.757
Jul ’24US$10.10
US$12.91
+27.9%
15.5%US$16.97US$9.62US$14.687
Jun ’24US$9.92
US$12.82
+29.3%
19.7%US$16.55US$9.51US$16.174
May ’24US$11.19
US$12.81
+14.5%
15.3%US$16.60US$9.43US$14.417
Apr ’24US$10.36
US$11.04
+6.5%
15.6%US$13.26US$8.20US$14.387
Mar ’24US$9.62
US$11.00
+14.4%
10.5%US$12.86US$9.56US$10.836
Feb ’24US$9.90
US$11.25
+13.6%
10.4%US$13.10US$9.76US$12.906
Jan ’24US$8.36
US$10.72
+28.3%
11.1%US$12.08US$8.79US$12.976
Dec ’23US$8.39
US$10.16
+21.1%
15.4%US$12.32US$7.84US$13.526
Nov ’23US$6.09
US$10.15
+66.6%
16.0%US$12.48US$7.70US$10.956

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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