Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Stock Overview
Operates as a steel producer in the United States and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
CLF Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 87 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$9.38 |
| 52 Week High | US$16.70 |
| 52 Week Low | US$7.36 |
| Beta | 2.09 |
| 1 Month Change | -31.03% |
| 3 Month Change | 11.01% |
| 1 Year Change | 23.42% |
| 3 Year Change | -43.90% |
| 5 Year Change | -58.07% |
| Change since IPO | 586.08% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 28
CLF: Peaking Steel Prices Will Drive A More Cautious Bearish Outlook
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Cleveland-Cliffs to $8.00, reflecting a reset in revenue growth and margin expectations, even as recent price target revisions cluster around $12 to $14 following the stock's sharp rally and updated steel price assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cleveland-Cliffs shows a more cautious tone, even as several firms update steel price assumptions and revise targets.
Narrative Update • Jun 14
CLF: Higher Leverage And Tariff Shift Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have shifted their view on Cleveland-Cliffs with a higher blended price target near $13 to $14, supported by updated steel price assumptions, expectations for firmer Q2 and second half demand, and modestly higher modeled margins, even as some still flag leverage as a constraint on the stock's P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cleveland-Cliffs reflects a mix of constructive and cautious views, with several firms updating steel price assumptions, earnings models, and valuation frameworks ahead of sector guidance and mid-quarter previews.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 28
CLF: Peaking Steel Prices Will Drive A More Cautious Bearish Outlook
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Cleveland-Cliffs to $8.00, reflecting a reset in revenue growth and margin expectations, even as recent price target revisions cluster around $12 to $14 following the stock's sharp rally and updated steel price assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cleveland-Cliffs shows a more cautious tone, even as several firms update steel price assumptions and revise targets.Narrative Update • Jun 14
CLF: Higher Leverage And Tariff Shift Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have shifted their view on Cleveland-Cliffs with a higher blended price target near $13 to $14, supported by updated steel price assumptions, expectations for firmer Q2 and second half demand, and modestly higher modeled margins, even as some still flag leverage as a constraint on the stock's P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cleveland-Cliffs reflects a mix of constructive and cautious views, with several firms updating steel price assumptions, earnings models, and valuation frameworks ahead of sector guidance and mid-quarter previews.Seeking Alpha • Jun 05
Cleveland-Cliffs: The Right Rally For The Wrong Reason
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs is downgraded to Sell as its stock price outpaces underlying financial and operational improvements. Despite favorable steel pricing and tariff dynamics, CLF’s realized prices lag spot, and its cost structure remains inflexible versus peers. CLF’s high leverage—net debt nearly equals equity value—makes the stock a volatile call option on steel prices, not a cash-flow compounder. Scenario analysis yields a probability-weighted price target of $11.66, with significant downside risk if steel prices mean-revert or execution falters. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 31
CLF: Tariff Policy And Leverage Concerns Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have reduced the Cleveland-Cliffs fair value estimate by about $2.40 to $14.42 per share, reflecting lower assumed revenue growth and P/E multiple, along with a modestly higher profit margin outlook and recent cautious coverage, including new Underweight ratings with a $9 price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cleveland-Cliffs has leaned cautious overall, with several firms assigning Underweight ratings and lower price targets.Narrative Update • May 03
CLF: Tariff Policy And Mixed Street Views Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the average price target for Cleveland-Cliffs by about $2.40, reflecting a mix of recent target cuts from several firms and a smaller upward revision from Goldman Sachs. These changes have contributed to more cautious assumptions on margins and valuation multiples, even as revenue growth expectations have remained steady to slightly higher.Narrative Update • Apr 19
CLF: Tariff Policy And Import Share Shifts Will Shape Future Earnings Power
The updated fair value estimate for Cleveland-Cliffs moves slightly lower to $16.80 from $17.00, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth and margins, along with a higher discount rate, despite a wide range of recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cleveland-Cliffs has been mixed, with a cluster of valuation resets and rating changes as analysts recalibrate expectations after recent company updates and sector notes.Narrative Update • Apr 04
CLF: Tariff Shifts And Higher Costs Will Shape A Cautious Rare Earths Story
Analysts have made only a small adjustment to their $-based price targets for Cleveland-Cliffs, reflecting a mix of higher assumed profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and a more cautious view on growth and risk after recent Neutral and Sector Weight calls, along with both minor cuts and raises to published targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cleveland-Cliffs has leaned more cautious, with several Bearish analysts highlighting execution and valuation risks despite some earlier optimism around pricing and policy support for the U.S. steel sector.Narrative Update • Mar 21
CLF: Tariff Support And Auto Contract Wins Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Cleveland-Cliffs has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect a new fair value estimate of about $13.08, as analysts weigh mixed rating changes, valuation concerns, and updated expectations for margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cleveland-Cliffs reflects a divided view, with some analysts focusing on potential upside from pricing, tariffs, and growth initiatives, while others point to valuation, costs, and execution risks around upcoming results and leadership actions.Narrative Update • Mar 07
CLF: Tariff Support And Auto Contract Wins Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their Cleveland-Cliffs price targets in a tight range, with small upward and downward moves of roughly $0.10 to $2. They are weighing mixed views on sector valuation, CEO stock sales, steel pricing expectations, and the company's cost profile and longer term opportunities.Narrative Update • Feb 21
CLF: Tariff Policy And Steel Pricing Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Cleveland-Cliffs slightly lower to around $13.41, reflecting mixed recent research in which some firms cited valuation concerns and insider selling, while others pointed to potential longer term opportunities in U.S. steel and tariff support. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cleveland-Cliffs splits into two clear camps, with some analysts focused on upside tied to steel pricing and tariffs, and others emphasizing valuation constraints, cost pressures, and insider selling.Narrative Update • Feb 06
CLF: Elevated Tariffs And Import Share Gains Will Reshape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cleveland-Cliffs to $17.00 from $14.00, citing updated assumptions on steel pricing, tariffs, and company-specific opportunities outlined in recent research, while noting that views remain divided on costs, valuation, and sector risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Cleveland-Cliffs, with some firms turning more cautious on valuation and costs, while others highlight potential upside tied to pricing, tariffs, and company specific initiatives.Narrative Update • Jan 23
CLF: Tariff Support And Cost Pressures Will Shape Steel Outlook
Analysts have raised their blended price target on Cleveland-Cliffs to about $13.44, up from $12.45. This shift reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, alongside mixed Street research that notes both tariff support for steel pricing and ongoing concerns about costs and valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 09
CLF: Rare Earths Excitement Will Eventually Clash With Rising Cost Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their average price expectations for Cleveland-Cliffs to about US$12.50 to US$16, reflecting concerns about valuation, higher than expected costs and a mixed macro backdrop, even as some still highlight catalysts around auto contracts, liquidity and updated post earnings models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cleveland-Cliffs has leaned more cautious, with several bearish analysts pulling back on their expectations while a few remain constructive.Narrative Update • Dec 15
CLF: Rare Earths Hype Will Likely Fade Against Weak Steel Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged our Cleveland Cliffs fair value estimate higher to approximately $8.62 from about $6.06 per share. This reflects a modestly higher long term valuation multiple even as they factor in softer near term revenue growth, still pressured margins, and a mixed macro backdrop for steel demand.Narrative Update • Dec 01
CLF: Cost Discipline And Trade Concerns Will Shape Outlook Into Year End
Analysts have slightly lowered their average price target for Cleveland-Cliffs to $12.45 from $12.58, citing a challenging macro environment for metals and mining. However, this is offset by potential demand rebounds in key regions.Narrative Update • Nov 17
CLF: Future Partnerships And Auto Steel Advances Will Support Upside Momentum
The analyst price target for Cleveland-Cliffs has been lowered slightly, from $12.76 to $12.58. Analysts cite muted revenue growth expectations and continued margin pressures, despite recent volatility in the shares.Narrative Update • Nov 02
CLF: Tariff Pressures And New Auto Contracts Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Cleveland-Cliffs by $0.59 to $12.76. This change reflects improved projected revenue growth and profit margin outlooks following the company’s recent earnings report and revised forecasts.Narrative Update • Oct 19
US Tariffs And Reshoring Will Support Domestic Steel Demand
Cleveland-Cliffs' analyst price target has increased from $11.57 to $12.17, as analysts point to improving risk and reward following stronger operating efficiency and potential benefits from ongoing industry tariffs and trade policy shifts. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to Cleveland-Cliffs’ recent performance and industry trends have been mixed, reflecting both optimism about the company’s trajectory and some caution about underlying challenges.Analysis Article • Oct 09
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:CLF) Surges 26% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. ( NYSE:CLF ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...Narrative Update • Oct 05
US Tariffs And Reshoring Will Support Domestic Steel Demand
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cleveland-Cliffs from $11.31 to $11.57 per share. This update is based on improved cost performance, anticipated tariff benefits, and a more favorable risk/reward outlook for the company.Narrative Update • Sep 16
US Tariffs And Reshoring Will Support Domestic Steel Demand
Cleveland-Cliffs’ consensus price target has increased to $11.31 as improved cost and efficiency post-Q2, potential share gains in auto steel from tariffs and onshoring, and supportive trade policies offset soft underlying demand and future supply concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improved risk/reward for Cleveland-Cliffs post-Q2 earnings, citing better cost and efficiency performance.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Cleveland-Cliffs: Even Tariffs Don't Seem To Help
Summary Tariffs are intended to raise domestic prices and boost U.S. steel producers' profits, but this hasn't significantly impacted Cleveland-Cliffs' stock price. The real issue isn't trade but technological change; integrated steel producers face declining demand due to increased recycling and electric arc furnace use. Cleveland-Cliffs' expansion and debt burden exacerbate its vulnerability in a market shifting away from virgin steel production. Tariffs alone won't solve Cleveland-Cliffs' structural problems; the industry's future lies in adapting to technological advancements, not trade protectionism. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
Cleveland-Cliffs: No Panic, A Rebound May Be Near
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs has underperformed, dropping 26% since my initial "Buy" rating, but I maintain my stance due to recent positive trends. Q4 2024 saw the lowest steel demand since 2010, but financial improvements and a strong order book signal a potential turnaround. The inclusion of Stelco and rising HRC prices could significantly boost CLF's revenues, potentially exceeding market expectations. On a net-net basis, the steel imports tariffs recently imposed; should a) increase CLF's volumes; and b) increase pricing. CLF's fair value today is close to $13.25/share. Despite macro risks, tariffs should enhance CLF's volumes and pricing, justifying my continued "Buy" rating and plans to add to my position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 26
Cleveland-Cliffs Could Be At The Beginning Of A Major Pricing Upcycle
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has multiple catalysts coming forth in 2025, driven by an improved macroeconomic environment and US manufacturing outlook. Section 232 tariffs have the ability to benefit Cleveland-Cliffs on multiple fronts, including price support and higher volume sales if imports decline. Cleveland-Cliffs may also benefit from nearshoring manufacturing, potentially driving more domestic construction projects. Higher steel prices from tariffs should benefit CLF, but potential risks include constrained demand from high interest rates and supply chain adjustments in the automotive industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 11
Cleveland-Cliffs: Trump Tariffs Likely To Boost Results
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs remains a Buy despite the failed U.S. Steel acquisition and falling steel prices, as fundamentals remain strong. The company's vertical model and Trump's 25% steel tariffs enhance competitiveness, particularly against foreign producers, offering long-term advantages. Financial results show a tough 2024 with a significant drop in steel prices, leading to negative cash flow and increased debt, but management remains optimistic. Updated valuation reflects a more conservative outlook due to cyclicality and higher interest rates, but the intrinsic value still supports a Buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 01
Cleveland-Cliffs: Don't Bite Off More Than You Can Chew
Summary The investment thesis highlights strong revenue growth, robust market position, and innovative product pipeline as key drivers for future performance. Rating justification is based on consistent earnings growth, favorable industry trends, and strategic acquisitions enhancing competitive advantage. The opening paragraphs emphasize the company's impressive financial performance and strategic initiatives that position it for long-term success. Closing paragraphs underscore potential risks but affirm confidence in the company's ability to navigate challenges and deliver shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Trump, Tariffs, And Turnarounds: Why Cleveland-Cliffs Is A Top Pick For 2025
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs faces 2024 headwinds from a challenging manufacturing environment, pricing pressures, and weaker automotive demand, but strategic moves position it well for future growth. The Stelco acquisition enhances CLF's supply chain, cuts costs, and boosts its product portfolio, making it a stronger player in North American steel production. Potential tariff and domestic manufacturing support from the Trump administration could provide significant tailwinds, with a 2025 manufacturing rebound expected to drive earnings growth. Despite its volatility and cyclical risks, CLF's attractive valuation and long-term potential make it a compelling opportunity for investors with higher risk tolerance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 06
Cleveland-Cliffs Falls On Q3 Earnings - A Gift For Long-Term Buyers
Summary Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. remains a "Buy" despite recent declines, driven by long-term growth potential, strategic focus, and attractive valuation. The company's Q3 2024 performance was weak due to automotive industry struggles, but the Stelco acquisition is expected to enhance EBITDA margins and operational flexibility. Management's conservative capital spending and cost-saving initiatives position CLF well for future growth, with a focus on debt reduction and strategic investments. Potential Republican policies could boost domestic manufacturing, benefiting CLF, while cyclical risks in the steel industry remain a concern. I believe that Cleveland-Cliffs hasn't lost its long-term growth potential. The company's asset base continues to expand, and with CLF stock now significantly cheaper than before, it looks quite attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| CLF | US Metals and Mining | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -21.1% | -7.5% | -2.5% |
| 1Y | 23.4% | 60.4% | 19.0% |
Return vs Industry: CLF underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 60.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CLF exceeded the US Market which returned 19% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| CLF volatility | |
|---|---|
| CLF Average Weekly Movement | 9.4% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 9.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: CLF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: CLF's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1847 | 25,000 | C. Goncalves | www.clevelandcliffs.com |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. operates as a steel producer in the United States and Canada. It offers hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and coated products, such as aluminized, electrogalvanized, and galvalume products, as well as galvanneal and hot-dipped galvanized products; stainless and electrical products, including GOES, NOES, and auto chrome; plate products; and slab and other steel products. The company also provides non- steelmaking products comprising stamped components, tool and die, and tubing; and scrap, iron ore, HBI, coal, and coke products.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| CLF fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$5.68b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$1.21b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$18.90b |
0.3x
P/S Ratio-4.4x
P/E RatioIs CLF overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| CLF income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$18.90b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$19.45b |
| Gross Profit | -US$546.00m |
| Other Expenses | US$663.00m |
| Earnings | -US$1.21b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -2.12 |
| Gross Margin | -2.89% |
| Net Profit Margin | -6.40% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 129.3% |
How did CLF perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 21:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Garchitorena | Barclays |
| Ignace Proot | Bernstein |
| Tony Robson | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |