The Bull Case For Crown Holdings (CCK) Could Change Following Completed $105M Buyback and Raised 2025 Outlook

• Between July and September 2025, Crown Holdings repurchased 1,097,904 shares for US$104.96 million, completing its total buyback of 5,701,011 shares, or 4.86% of shares outstanding, under the program announced in July 2024.
• This buyback coincided with strong Q2 2025 results and raised guidance, highlighting Crown Holdings’ confidence in its operational performance and cash flow generation.
• We'll look at how Crown’s solid earnings growth and major share repurchase influence its investment outlook and future prospects.

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Crown Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Crown Holdings shareholder, you need to believe in the ongoing, global transition toward sustainable packaging, and the company’s ability to capture long-term growth from increased metal can demand. The recent completion of Crown’s US$512.11 million buyback, following strong earnings and upward guidance, strengthens the case for robust cash generation as a short-term catalyst. However, its geographic concentration risk, especially weakness and restructuring in Asian and Mexican markets, remains, and the buyback does not materially change that risk.

Among recent announcements, Crown’s raised full-year earnings expectations appear most relevant. The company now anticipates adjusted EPS of US$7.10 to US$7.50 for 2025, reflecting improved operations and a healthy balance sheet. Together with the completed buyback, these results reinforce the company’s ability to support shareholder returns and boost investor confidence around its core operational performance and cash flow strength.

Yet, against these positives, investors should know that persistent regional volume pressure could threaten Crown’s long-term earnings if...

Read the full narrative on Crown Holdings (it's free!)

Crown Holdings' outlook projects $13.3 billion in revenue and $886.4 million in earnings by 2028. This implies a 3.3% annual revenue growth rate and a $329.4 million increase in earnings from the current $557.0 million.

Uncover how Crown Holdings' forecasts yield a $121.13 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Simply Wall St Community members put Crown’s fair value between US$121 and US$205, spanning a wide gap in outlooks from just two perspectives. Some see opportunity in the company’s focus on operational efficiency, but ongoing regional demand risks remain crucial to watch.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Crown Holdings - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Crown Holdings Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Crown Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Crown Holdings research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Crown Holdings' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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