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Slammed 31% American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
American Vanguard Corporation (NYSE:AVD) shares have had a horrible month, losing 31% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 61% loss during that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider American Vanguard as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for American Vanguard
What Does American Vanguard's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recently shrinking revenue for American Vanguard has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think the company's revenue may begin to slide even faster. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on American Vanguard.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For American Vanguard?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, American Vanguard would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.3%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.1% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 2.6% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that American Vanguard's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From American Vanguard's P/S?
The southerly movements of American Vanguard's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've seen that American Vanguard currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for American Vanguard that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on American Vanguard, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AVD
American Vanguard
Through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets specialty chemicals for agricultural, commercial, and consumer uses in the United States and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.