Arcadium Lithium plc

NYSE:ALTM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Arcadium Lithium Valuation

Is ALTM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALTM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALTM ($5.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($40.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALTM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALTM?

Key metric: As ALTM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALTM. This is calculated by dividing ALTM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALTM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36x
EarningsUS$155.10m
Market CapUS$5.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALTM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALTM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
BCPC Balchem
44.7x14.9%US$5.4b
NEU NewMarket
11.8xn/aUS$5.1b
CE Celanese
6.9x14.2%US$7.5b
ESI Element Solutions
23.5x0.5%US$6.2b
ALTM Arcadium Lithium
36x29.1%US$5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALTM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALTM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.08xn/aUS$9.83m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.7xn/aUS$6.35m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.5xn/aUS$1.64m
ALTM 36.0xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALTM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALTM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALTM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36x
Fair PE Ratio36x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALTM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALTM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.19
US$6.04
+16.4%
16.5%US$9.00US$4.31n/a19
Dec ’25US$5.25
US$6.04
+15.1%
16.5%US$9.00US$4.31n/a19
Nov ’25US$5.44
US$6.06
+11.4%
21.0%US$9.00US$4.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$2.84
US$5.10
+79.6%
42.2%US$10.00US$2.90n/a21
Sep ’25US$2.71
US$5.26
+94.2%
39.9%US$10.00US$3.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$3.04
US$6.67
+119.2%
39.7%US$14.00US$3.75n/a20
Jul ’25US$3.26
US$7.40
+127.1%
37.5%US$14.00US$3.75n/a20
Jun ’25US$4.43
US$7.99
+80.4%
31.6%US$14.00US$5.00n/a18
May ’25US$4.55
US$8.22
+80.7%
29.3%US$14.00US$5.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$4.31
US$8.28
+92.0%
29.9%US$14.00US$5.00n/a19
Mar ’25US$5.53
US$8.76
+58.5%
29.0%US$14.00US$5.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$4.75
US$9.42
+98.2%
25.6%US$14.00US$6.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$7.47
US$10.55
+41.1%
28.3%US$15.79US$6.23n/a18
Dec ’24US$5.95
US$10.50
+76.4%
28.8%US$15.79US$6.23US$5.2518
Nov ’24US$5.95
US$11.77
+97.8%
24.9%US$18.70US$7.69US$5.4418
Oct ’24US$7.65
US$13.58
+77.5%
15.4%US$18.70US$10.39US$2.8418
Sep ’24US$9.01
US$13.58
+50.6%
15.4%US$18.70US$10.39US$2.7118
Aug ’24US$10.05
US$13.74
+36.8%
15.8%US$18.70US$10.39US$3.0418
Jul ’24US$11.40
US$13.65
+19.7%
16.0%US$18.70US$10.39US$3.2618
Jun ’24US$9.75
US$13.56
+39.1%
16.6%US$18.70US$10.39US$4.4317
May ’24US$8.68
US$13.47
+55.2%
17.6%US$18.70US$9.56US$4.5516
Apr ’24US$9.03
US$13.60
+50.7%
17.7%US$18.70US$9.56US$4.3116
Mar ’24US$9.83
US$13.49
+37.2%
17.7%US$18.70US$9.56US$5.5317
Feb ’24US$10.85
US$13.70
+26.3%
16.6%US$18.70US$9.14US$4.7517
Jan ’24US$8.26
US$14.01
+69.6%
14.3%US$18.70US$11.22US$7.4716
Dec ’23US$11.19
US$14.22
+27.0%
14.2%US$18.70US$11.22US$5.9516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 06:57
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Arcadium Lithium plc is covered by 41 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
John EadeArgus Research Company
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited