Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.

NYSE:AXTA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.5b

Axalta Coating Systems Valuation

Is AXTA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXTA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXTA ($34.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXTA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXTA?

Key metric: As AXTA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AXTA. This is calculated by dividing AXTA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AXTA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.9x
EarningsUS$327.40m
Market CapUS$7.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AXTA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AXTA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
CE Celanese
6.8x14.2%US$7.5b
BCPC Balchem
44.3x14.9%US$5.4b
ESI Element Solutions
23x0.5%US$6.1b
NEU NewMarket
11.6xn/aUS$5.0b
AXTA Axalta Coating Systems
22.9x19.5%US$7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AXTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AXTA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.07xn/aUS$10.35m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.4xn/aUS$5.84m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.7xn/aUS$1.64m
AXTA 22.9xIndustry Avg. 20.4xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AXTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXTA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXTA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AXTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AXTA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.40
US$43.92
+27.7%
7.4%US$51.00US$39.00n/a19
Dec ’25US$40.46
US$43.93
+8.6%
6.5%US$50.00US$39.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$37.98
US$43.56
+14.7%
6.4%US$50.00US$39.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$35.64
US$41.56
+16.6%
6.7%US$45.00US$35.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$36.50
US$41.56
+13.9%
6.7%US$45.00US$35.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$36.64
US$40.40
+10.3%
6.9%US$45.00US$35.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$33.70
US$40.00
+18.7%
6.9%US$45.00US$33.00n/a18
Jun ’25US$35.59
US$40.06
+12.5%
6.9%US$45.00US$33.00n/a18
May ’25US$34.21
US$37.53
+9.7%
9.7%US$45.00US$30.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$34.40
US$36.50
+6.1%
8.5%US$42.00US$30.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$32.48
US$36.50
+12.4%
8.5%US$42.00US$30.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$32.94
US$36.11
+9.6%
9.5%US$42.00US$30.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$33.97
US$35.17
+3.5%
9.6%US$42.00US$30.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$32.19
US$34.44
+7.0%
7.6%US$39.00US$30.00US$40.4618
Nov ’24US$28.35
US$33.78
+19.1%
7.9%US$38.00US$29.00US$37.9818
Oct ’24US$26.90
US$34.35
+27.7%
7.9%US$38.00US$29.00US$35.6418
Sep ’24US$28.31
US$34.17
+20.7%
8.0%US$38.00US$29.00US$36.5019
Aug ’24US$32.20
US$35.21
+9.3%
8.8%US$40.00US$29.00US$36.6419
Jul ’24US$32.81
US$34.42
+4.9%
8.6%US$40.00US$29.00US$33.7019
Jun ’24US$30.02
US$33.94
+13.1%
9.7%US$40.00US$28.00US$35.5918
May ’24US$31.60
US$33.18
+5.0%
11.7%US$40.00US$24.00US$34.2117
Apr ’24US$30.29
US$32.06
+5.8%
12.1%US$40.00US$24.00US$34.4017
Mar ’24US$30.17
US$32.23
+6.8%
11.9%US$40.00US$24.00US$32.4818
Feb ’24US$30.35
US$31.90
+5.1%
11.8%US$40.00US$24.00US$32.9418
Jan ’24US$25.47
US$28.24
+10.9%
10.7%US$34.00US$20.00US$33.9718
Dec ’23US$26.78
US$27.37
+2.2%
10.5%US$31.00US$20.00US$32.1918

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is covered by 31 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Patrick Duffy FischerBarclays