Stock Analysis

Pactiv Evergreen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTVE) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NasdaqGS:PTVE
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Packaging industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Pactiv Evergreen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTVE) P/S ratio of 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Pactiv Evergreen

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:PTVE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 22nd 2024

How Has Pactiv Evergreen Performed Recently?

Pactiv Evergreen has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Pactiv Evergreen's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Pactiv Evergreen's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Pactiv Evergreen's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.9%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 19% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 3.9% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 0.1%.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Pactiv Evergreen's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Pactiv Evergreen's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It appears that Pactiv Evergreen currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Pactiv Evergreen has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pactiv Evergreen is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.