Origin Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Origin Materials's earnings are forecast to decline at 84.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 42.1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 85% per annum.

Key information

-84.7%

Earnings growth rate

-85.0%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	16.6%
Revenue growth rate	42.1%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	23 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Improved Earnings Required Before Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) Stock's 50% Jump Looks Justified

Apr 25

Are Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Apr 04

Is There Now An Opportunity In Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN)?

Mar 06

Origin Materials: Leading Carbon-Negative Player On Track For Huge Growth Potential

Oct 11

Origin Materials: A Chemicals Stock With Upside Growth Potential And A Constructive Chart

Oct 04

Origin Materials: Leading Carbon Negative Materials Player With Huge Growth Potential

Jul 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqCM:ORGN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	64	-48	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2024	32	-55	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2023	29	24	-163	-60	N/A
9/30/2023	16	50	-179	-63	N/A
6/30/2023	9	28	-190	-59	N/A
3/31/2023	2	81	-158	-44	N/A
12/31/2022	N/A	79	-110	-26	N/A
9/30/2022	N/A	68	-81	-16	N/A
6/30/2022	N/A	87	-53	-18	N/A
3/31/2022	N/A	103	-42	-20	N/A
12/31/2021	N/A	42	-35	-22	N/A
9/30/2021	N/A	13	-23	-17	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-18	-13	-10	N/A
3/31/2021	N/A	-82	-10	-8	N/A
12/31/2020	N/A	-30	-8	-5	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORGN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-84.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ORGN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-84.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ORGN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ORGN's revenue (42.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ORGN's revenue (42.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ORGN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Origin Materials Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 12%

Origin Materials, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

Origin Materials, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Origin Materials, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.41 loss, revenue downgraded

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 26%

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 62%

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024

Improved Earnings Required Before Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) Stock's 50% Jump Looks Justified

Now 42% overvalued after recent price rise

New major risk - Share price stability

Are Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Now 35% overvalued

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 12%

Co-CEO & Director exercised options to buy US$244k worth of stock.

Now 29% overvalued

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Is There Now An Opportunity In Origin Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORGN)?

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Board Changes

Origin Materials, Inc. Steps Down from Her Position as Chair

Origin Materials, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 29, 2024

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Resignation of Charles Drucker as Board of Directors

Origin Materials Receives Non-Compliance Notice from Nasdaq

Origin Materials Receives Non-Compliance Notice from Nasdaq

Origin Materials, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2024

New minor risk - Market cap size

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Origin Materials, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

New major risk - Earnings quality

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 09, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Appointment of Matt Plavan as Chief Financial Officer

Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Origin Materials, Inc. Investors of A Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadline

Origin Materials, Inc. Awards BioMADE Funding to Advance Department of Defense Sustainability Goals

Independent Director recently bought US$100k worth of stock

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Executive Changes, Effective September 1, 2023

Rosen Law Firm Encourages Origin Materials, Inc. Investors with Losses in Excess of $100K to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action

Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought US$200k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 68%

New major risk - Share price stability

Origin Materials, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023

Co-Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition

Origin Materials, Inc. Appoints James Stephanou as Class III Director and Member of Audit Committee and Compensation Committee

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.41 loss, revenue downgraded

Co-CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$205k worth of stock

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 26%

Origin Materials, Inc. Announces Benno Dorer Steps Down from the Board

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Origin Materials, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Chief Financial Officer exercised options and sold US$246k worth of stock

Co-CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$256k worth of stock

General Counsel & Secretary recently sold US$58k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 03, 2022

Price target decreased to US$11.75

Origin Materials: Leading Carbon-Negative Player On Track For Huge Growth Potential

Origin Materials: A Chemicals Stock With Upside Growth Potential And A Constructive Chart

Independent Director recently sold US$292k worth of stock

Co-CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$315k worth of stock

Chief Commercial Officer exercised options and sold US$1.3m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Origin Materials, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

Origin Materials: Leading Carbon Negative Materials Player With Huge Growth Potential

Co-Founder exercised options to buy US$2.2m worth of stock.

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Independent Director recently bought US$241k worth of stock

Origin Materials, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week