Stock Analysis

Mercer International (NASDAQ:MERC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.075

NasdaqGS:MERC
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Mercer International Inc. (NASDAQ:MERC) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.075 per share on the 4th of October. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 3.7%, which is around the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Mercer International

Mercer International's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Even in the absence of profits, Mercer International is paying a dividend. Along with this, it is also not generating free cash flows, which raises concerns about the sustainability of the dividend.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 8.4%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:MERC Historic Dividend August 8th 2023

Mercer International's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. If the company cuts once, it definitely isn't argument against the possibility of it cutting in the future. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was $0.46, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.30. This works out to be a decline of approximately 5.2% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Mercer International has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 15% per annum. Unprofitable companies aren't normally our pick for a dividend stock, but we like the growth that we have been seeing. If the company can become profitable soon, continuing on this trajectory would bode well for the future of the dividend.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Mercer International's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. Strong earnings growth means Mercer International has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Mercer International that you should be aware of before investing. Is Mercer International not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.