Stock Analysis

Pinning Down Innospec Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IOSP) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

NasdaqGS:IOSP
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Innospec Inc. (NASDAQ:IOSP) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Innospec certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Innospec

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:IOSP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 7th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Innospec.

Is There Enough Growth For Innospec?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Innospec's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 55% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.9% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Innospec's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Innospec currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Innospec that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Innospec, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.