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ioneer LtdNasdaqCM:IONR Stock Report

Market Cap US$301.6m
Share Price
US$4.01
US$12.32
67.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y41.7%
7D9.9%
1D
Portfolio Value
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ioneer Ltd

NasdaqCM:IONR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$301.6m

ioneer (IONR) Stock Overview

Operates as a mineral exploration and development company in North America. More details

IONR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Risk Analysis

Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year

Makes less than USD$1m in revenue ($656K)

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 33.4% per year for the next 3 years

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

+ 1 more risk

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ioneer Ltd Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for ioneer
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$4.01
52 Week HighAU$8.20
52 Week LowAU$2.30
Beta0.91
1 Month Change-2.43%
3 Month Change32.78%
1 Year Change41.70%
3 Year Change-58.01%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-77.25%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 31

ioneer: Sodium-Ion Overhangs Lithium Market (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Downgrade ioneer from Buy to Hold due to increased lithium market uncertainty resulting from CATL's sodium-ion battery mass production plans. Lithium prices appear to be reacting negatively to CATL's sodium-ion announcement, and the decline may not be over. Boron, comprising up to 40% of ioneer’s projected revenue, provides stability and diversification, helping de-risk the project amid lithium market swings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 11

Ioneer: 4 Reasons To Expect Further Price Rise

Summary ioneer is a standout lithium stock in 2024, with a YTD increase of ~50%, outperforming the Global X Lithium and Battery Tech ETF, which has seen a pullback. Factors like the need for EV battery supply chain security in the US, its progress with permits, competitive costs and robust NPV work in its favour. While IONR can continue to see price fluctuations as a pre-production miner, at least until 2027, the likelihood of the stock trending broadly upwards is high. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 02

ioneer: One Step Closer To Construction

Summary ioneer Ltd. owns the low-cost Rhyolite Ridge Lithium-Boron Project in Nevada, which is expected to have industry-leading economics. ioneer recently achieved a major permitting milestone with the BLM issuing a Draft EIS for Rhyolite Ridge. Even with the recent stock rally and equity raise, I still see 100%+ upside to the shares assuming a long-term $20,000 / ton lithium carbonate price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03

ioneer Ltd: Trying Hard To Reduce Risk

ioneer is an Australian lithium miner with one major asset, a lithium-boron mine in Nevada. Ford and a Toyota/Panasonic JV are now announced as the major offtake partners. This article will summarize the Rhyolite Ridge project, discuss the recent developments, and I provide my thoughts on the investment. Risk Mitigating US Lithium Miner The battle continues over the battery supply chain. Exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, growing demand, and limited supply, Toyota (TM, TOYOF) and Panasonic (PCRFY, PCRFF) have formed a joint venture in search of securing lithium supplies for battery production. In comes ioneer Ltd (IONR), an Australian company that has recently secured the rights to the Rhyolite Ridge lithium-boron sedimentary deposits. While operations have yet to commence, the company expects full production in 2025, and support by multinational customers may provide the necessary funding and bureaucratic expertise to succeed. ioneer's assets are unique in that Rhyolite Ridge has the potential to be quite profitable thanks to the local reserves containing both boron and lithium. Both elements have growing use and necessity, especially as the U.S. lacks true self-sufficiency across many areas of raw material supply. ioneer has a few additional catalysts that support a positive outlook, including sharing 50% of the Rhyolite Ridge project with experienced Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW, SBYSF) and a strong team of technical and advisory support, highlighted below. ioneer May Investor Presentation The location in western Nevada also has the benefit of close access to Panasonic's joint Gigafactory with Tesla (TSLA), and final contracted supply is expected to be enough to produce up to approximately 150,000 EVs per year. This backs up other contracts that ioneer has established with Ford (F) and EcoPro (South Korea listed). Unfortunately, we must still wait for the necessary permitting process to conclude before any sales can occur, and this always increases the risk. ioneer website Down to the Hardest Permit Sequence As is typical, one major impact that has led to a longer permitting process is the avoidance of a rare species: Tiehm's Buckwheat. While an original plan had ioneer moving a few plants that may have been impacted by operations, the company now must leave all plants undisturbed and is actively growing additional ones to plant. Parties on both sides of the coin, whether pro-conservation or pro-lithium mining, must concede the fact that neither are completely in the clear. As greenhouse repopulation has been a meaningful way to increase the population size, more agencies have agreed that as long as the populations are not directly disturbed, the plant should coexist with nearby sustainable mining. Ioneer Website For investors, this means being thoughtful about the operations of the mine and being willing to spend less than 1% of expected earnings on being as eco-friendly as possible. Unfortunately, delays are only the fault of management because these risks should have been addressed prior to submitting any plans. At the same time, I would hope environmentalists ease off now that the final plan of operation is being heavily scrutinized and revised. Considering the U.S. has far stricter environmental standards than other countries, I would rather have mining operations based here rather than pushed abroad. Based on current survey progress and operation revisions, I expect that approval should be obtained by the end of 2023. However, there will be another round of public comment, and this may be a risk point to consider as critical to pass unobstructed. Based on the recent progress of Rio Tinto and BHP's far larger Resolution Copper mine in Arizona, I expect public sentiment is in general supportive of further raw material production to support the U.S. economy, when performed with the area in mind. Look to the new Plan of Operations to be submitted in the coming quarter. ioneer July financial update ioneer May Investor Presentation Other key points of the Rhyolite Ridge project include the following risks and innovations: Due to the surface location of the deposit, the initial mining will be done with traditional pit-mining techniques, but ioneer has partnered with Caterpillar (CAT) to provide significant automation infrastructure to increase efficiency and reduce risk. The lithium-boron deposit is easily extracted with dilute sulfuric acid, which will be produced on site, and cogenerated energy production will support all site operations. The unique mineralogy and available processing systems will allow the project to not require evaporation ponds or tailings, two environmentally harmful processes. Other factors such as low emissions and water usage technologies are also in place to improve the environmental footprint. Whether these mitigations are enough to persuade an approval is unknown, but I remain optimistic for the time being. Now, we need to determine whether the financials are reaching a point to allow for development if the project is allowed to proceed. ioneer website Financial Summary of Rhyolite Ridge Current quarterly losses for the project are less than $10 million, with cash on hand equaling $94 million USD. The current estimated capex for the project is $785 million USD, although the current after-tax NPV is expected to be $1.265 billion USD. With ioneer set to earn their money back after just five years, the project would be a fairly profitable endeavor compared to other lithium mines. Also, 50% partner SBSW has pledged over $400 million USD to the project, and this will limit the amount of additional funding that will be necessary over the next few years. ioneer Offtake Partners To secure cash flows in the future, ioneer has already done extensive work to find suitable long-term customers. First came EcoPro, a Korean renewables company, who obtained the first allocation of 7,000 tpa (tons per annum) of lithium. Then in July, Ford was announced as the other 7,000 tpa recipient. Lastly, with an announcement at the end of July, a press release noted that a JV between Toyota and Panasonic was allocated the final 4,000 tpa offtake slot.

Shareholder Returns

IONRUS Metals and MiningUS Market
7D9.9%7.5%2.3%
1Y41.7%80.4%25.5%

Return vs Industry: IONR underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 80.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: IONR exceeded the US Market which returned 25.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is IONR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
IONR volatility
IONR Average Weekly Movement13.9%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement9.5%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: IONR's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: IONR's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2001n/aBernard Rowewww.ioneer.com

ioneer Ltd operates as a mineral exploration and development company in North America. It engages in the development of the Rhyolite Ridge lithium-boron project located in Nevada, the United States. The company was formerly known as Global Geoscience Limited and changed its name to ioneer Ltd in November 2018.

ioneer Ltd Fundamentals Summary

How do ioneer's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
IONR fundamental statistics
Market capUS$301.58m
Earnings (TTM)-US$8.14m
Revenue (TTM)US$656.00k
459.7x
P/S Ratio
-37.0x
P/E Ratio

Is IONR overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
IONR income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$656.00k
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$656.00k
Other ExpensesUS$8.80m
Earnings-US$8.14m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.0026
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin-1,240.85%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did IONR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 02:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ioneer Ltd is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stuart HoweBell Potter
Timothy HoffCanaccord Genuity
Matthew HopeOrd Minnett Limited