Alto Ingredients, Inc.

NasdaqCM:ALTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$113.4m

Alto Ingredients Valuation

Is ALTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALTO ($1.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALTO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALTO?

Key metric: As ALTO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALTO. This is calculated by dividing ALTO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALTO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesUS$1.00b
Market CapUS$113.44m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALTO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
NTIC Northern Technologies International
1.5x8.1%US$130.3m
NANX Nanophase Technologies
3.6xn/aUS$171.5m
FSI Flexible Solutions International
1.1x14.9%US$44.2m
RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials
0.3x3.3%US$492.4m
ALTO Alto Ingredients
0.1x3.1%US$113.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALTO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x4.5%
ALTO Alto Ingredients
 0.1x3.1%US$113.44m
TSE Trinseo
0.05x4.1%US$168.87m
AVD American Vanguard
0.2x4.8%US$127.82m
ALTO 0.1xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies14PS012345+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x16.8%
ALTO Alto Ingredients
 0.1x161.6%US$113.44m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALTO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALTO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.48
US$4.50
+204.1%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Dec ’25US$1.45
US$4.50
+210.3%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Nov ’25US$1.90
US$4.50
+136.8%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Oct ’25US$1.62
US$4.50
+177.8%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Sep ’25US$1.38
US$4.50
+226.1%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Aug ’25US$1.55
US$4.50
+190.3%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Jul ’25US$1.43
US$4.50
+215.8%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
Jun ’25US$1.52
US$4.50
+196.1%
22.2%US$5.50US$3.50n/a2
May ’25US$1.86
US$4.75
+155.4%
15.8%US$5.50US$4.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$2.29
US$4.75
+107.4%
15.8%US$5.50US$4.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$2.22
US$5.25
+136.5%
4.8%US$5.50US$5.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$1.89
US$5.25
+177.8%
4.8%US$5.50US$5.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$2.66
US$5.25
+97.4%
4.8%US$5.50US$5.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$2.52
US$5.25
+108.3%
4.8%US$5.50US$5.00US$1.452
Nov ’24US$4.26
US$6.50
+52.6%
7.7%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.902
Oct ’24US$4.42
US$6.50
+47.1%
7.7%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.622
Sep ’24US$3.68
US$6.50
+76.6%
7.7%US$7.00US$6.00US$1.382
Aug ’24US$3.93
US$5.00
+27.2%
32.7%US$7.00US$3.00US$1.553
Jul ’24US$2.89
US$5.00
+73.0%
32.7%US$7.00US$3.00US$1.433
Jun ’24US$2.02
US$5.00
+147.5%
32.7%US$7.00US$3.00US$1.523
May ’24US$1.28
US$7.00
+446.9%
23.3%US$9.00US$5.00US$1.863
Apr ’24US$1.50
US$7.00
+366.7%
23.3%US$9.00US$5.00US$2.293
Mar ’24US$3.00
US$8.33
+177.8%
20.4%US$10.00US$6.00US$2.223
Feb ’24US$3.42
US$8.33
+143.7%
20.4%US$10.00US$6.00US$1.893
Jan ’24US$2.88
US$9.00
+212.5%
24.0%US$11.00US$6.00US$2.663
Dec ’23US$3.40
US$9.00
+164.7%
24.0%US$11.00US$6.00US$2.523

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alto Ingredients, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jinming LiuArdour Capital Investments, LLC
Carter DriscollB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Hamed KhorsandBWS Financial Inc.