Stock Analysis

Is Ascent Industries (NASDAQ:ACNT) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGM:ACNT
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ascent Industries Co. (NASDAQ:ACNT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ascent Industries

What Is Ascent Industries's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Ascent Industries had US$69.2m of debt, an increase on US$59.5m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:ACNT Debt to Equity History September 7th 2022

How Strong Is Ascent Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ascent Industries had liabilities of US$72.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$100.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$245.0k and US$63.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$108.4m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$156.5m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ascent Industries' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ascent Industries's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 31.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Ascent Industries grew its EBIT by 865% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ascent Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Ascent Industries recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Ascent Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Ascent Industries takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ascent Industries you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.