Sagicor Financial Company Ltd.

OTCPK:SGCF.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$594.9m

Sagicor Financial Valuation

Is SGCF.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGCF.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGCF.F ($4.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGCF.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGCF.F?

Key metric: As SGCF.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGCF.F. This is calculated by dividing SGCF.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGCF.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.1x
EarningsUS$530.40m
Market CapUS$594.87m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGCF.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGCF.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
KCLI Kansas City Life Insurance
6.1xn/aUS$343.8m
CIA Citizens
10.4x-4.5%US$228.1m
PKIN Pekin Life Insurance
22.6xn/aUS$196.6m
GNW Genworth Financial
33xn/aUS$3.1b
SGCF.F Sagicor Financial
1.1x-83.3%US$838.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGCF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGCF.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.13.1x10.4%
SGCF.F Sagicor Financial
1.1x-83.3%US$594.87m
1.9xn/aUS$85.49m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.68m
SGCF.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.13.1x10.4%
SGCF.F Sagicor Financial
1.1x-83.3%US$594.87m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGCF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGCF.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGCF.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SGCF.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGCF.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$6.39
0%
9.1%US$7.10US$5.68n/a3
Nov ’25US$4.46
US$6.23
+39.9%
5.4%US$6.47US$5.76n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$6.36
0%
5.4%US$6.60US$5.87n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$6.36
0%
5.4%US$6.60US$5.87n/a3
Aug ’25US$4.32
US$6.72
+55.6%
6.8%US$7.33US$6.23n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$6.67
0%
6.8%US$7.28US$6.19n/a3
Jun ’25US$4.32
US$6.73
+55.8%
6.8%US$7.34US$6.24n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$6.71
0%
6.8%US$7.32US$6.22n/a3
Apr ’25US$5.24
US$6.56
+25.2%
9.6%US$7.43US$5.94n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$6.56
0%
9.6%US$7.43US$5.94n/a3
Feb ’25US$4.30
US$6.56
+52.5%
9.6%US$7.43US$5.94n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
US$6.35
0%
14.4%US$7.48US$5.23n/a3
Dec ’24US$4.48
US$6.09
+35.9%
15.0%US$7.31US$5.12n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$6.08
0%
15.0%US$7.29US$5.11US$4.463
Oct ’24US$3.71
US$6.67
+79.7%
11.1%US$7.41US$5.93n/a2
Sep ’24n/a
US$6.67
0%
11.1%US$7.41US$5.93n/a2
Aug ’24US$3.25
US$6.02
+85.2%
25.0%US$7.53US$4.52US$4.322
Jul ’24US$3.37
US$5.99
+77.7%
25.0%US$7.48US$4.49n/a2
Jun ’24n/a
US$5.88
0%
25.0%US$7.36US$4.41US$4.322
May ’24US$3.75
US$6.65
+77.5%
11.1%US$7.39US$5.92n/a2
Apr ’24n/a
US$6.65
0%
11.1%US$7.39US$5.92US$5.242
Mar ’24US$3.60
US$6.37
+76.9%
17.6%US$7.49US$5.25n/a2
Feb ’24n/a
US$6.38
0%
17.6%US$7.51US$5.26US$4.302
Jan ’24US$5.75
US$6.38
+10.9%
17.6%US$7.50US$5.25n/a2
Dec ’23US$6.00
US$6.38
+6.3%
17.6%US$7.50US$5.25US$4.482
Nov ’23US$4.42
US$6.53
+47.8%
11.1%US$7.26US$5.81n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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