Markel Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Markel Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.2% and 3.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.9% in 3 years.

Key information

0.2%

Earnings growth rate

3.3%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	10.9%
Revenue growth rate	3.4%
Future return on equity	8.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MKL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	17,348	2,035	N/A	2,107	2
12/31/2025	16,120	1,535	N/A	2,384	5
12/31/2024	15,249	1,298	N/A	2,182	5
12/31/2023	15,804	1,966	2,528	2,787	N/A
9/30/2023	15,372	1,884	2,593	2,793	N/A
6/30/2023	15,063	1,884	2,573	2,797	N/A
3/31/2023	12,712	271	2,339	2,579	N/A
12/31/2022	11,675	-322	2,455	2,709	N/A
9/30/2022	11,223	-130	2,258	2,532	N/A
6/30/2022	10,844	36	2,182	2,382	N/A
3/31/2022	12,552	1,766	2,205	2,371	N/A
12/31/2021	12,846	2,434	2,129	2,274	N/A
9/30/2021	12,444	2,398	1,989	2,098	N/A
6/30/2021	12,668	2,619	1,956	2,062	N/A
3/31/2021	12,300	2,740	1,888	1,990	N/A
12/31/2020	9,735	769	1,636	1,738	N/A
9/30/2020	8,961	451	1,723	1,824	N/A
6/30/2020	8,082	215	1,389	1,514	N/A
3/31/2020	7,389	-193	1,193	1,321	N/A
12/31/2019	9,526	1,792	1,151	1,274	N/A
9/30/2019	7,988	539	718	842	N/A
6/30/2019	8,190	743	731	834	N/A
3/31/2019	7,738	521	746	854	N/A
12/31/2018	6,841	-133	786	893	N/A
9/30/2018	7,461	1,041	920	1,023	N/A
6/30/2018	6,731	382	837	928	N/A
3/31/2018	6,225	248	822	904	N/A
12/31/2017	6,062	362	784	859	N/A
9/30/2017	5,828	65	N/A	809	N/A
6/30/2017	5,753	406	N/A	702	N/A
3/31/2017	5,648	338	N/A	651	N/A
12/31/2016	5,612	440	N/A	535	N/A
9/30/2016	5,604	511	N/A	425	N/A
6/30/2016	5,515	536	N/A	483	N/A
3/31/2016	5,444	554	N/A	524	N/A
12/31/2015	5,370	587	N/A	651	N/A
9/30/2015	5,285	501	N/A	731	N/A
6/30/2015	5,242	472	N/A	718	N/A
3/31/2015	5,196	415	N/A	717	N/A
12/31/2014	5,134	313	N/A	717	N/A
9/30/2014	5,078	297	N/A	740	N/A
6/30/2014	4,970	288	N/A	743	N/A
3/31/2014	4,743	279	N/A	712	N/A
12/31/2013	4,323	283	N/A	746	N/A
9/30/2013	3,851	246	N/A	695	N/A
6/30/2013	3,425	231	N/A	528	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MKL's forecast earnings growth (0.2% per year) is below the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: MKL's earnings (0.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MKL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MKL's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MKL's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MKL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.9%).

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Markel Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

Markel Promotes Chloe Gordge to Head of Terrorism in London

Markel Group Inc. Announces K. Bruce Connell Is Not Standing for Re-Election as Director

Markel Appoints Oliver Atkin to Head of Bloodstock for London Markets

Markel: Buybacks Are A Good Sign

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Mike Heaton as Chief Operating Officer

Markel: Listening To Warren Buffett And Being Cautious

Markel: I Still See Value In The Long Term

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Markel Group: Soaring Investment Income And Value

Markel Appoints Sebastian Rice as a Senior Underwriter and Head of Business Development for Europe

Revenues Tell The Story For Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:MKL)

Markel Group Inc. Names Meade Grandis Chief Accounting Officer and Controller of Group

Markel: A Hiccup In The Insurance Engine, I'm Still Holding

Markel Group Inc. Announces the Departure of Bob Cox as President and Chief Operating Officer, Global Insurance Operations, Effective from December 31, 2023

Markel Group: Outstanding Business For 2024 And Beyond

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Markel Announces Executive Changes

Markel Appoints Stephen Rogers as Head of Queensland

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Brook Styles as Head of Cargo

Markel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

Markel Set To Resume Historical Growth Rate As Headwinds Subside

Markel Group: A Specialty Insurance Company With A Long-Term Growth Potential

Chairman of the Board notifies of intention to sell stock

Markel, the Insurance Operation Within Markel Group Inc. Appoints Andrew Umphress as the Head of Terrorism for North America

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Group Inc. Announces Senior Leadership Appointments Within Markel Specialty Division

Markel: An Undervalued Financial Holding Company

Markel Group Inc.(NYSE:MKL) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth Index

MARKEL GROUP INC Promotes Sal Pollaro to Executive Underwriting Officer

Insider recently bought US$67k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought US$101k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

High number of new directors

Independent Director recently bought US$531k worth of stock

Markel Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Corporation: Calculating The Mathematical Value

Markel: A Buffett-Like Wealth Compounder

Markel Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 17, 2023

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Markel Corporation Announces Change in Designation of Jeremy A. Noble from Senior Vice President to President, Effective on January 1, 2023

Director recently sold US$138k worth of stock

High number of new directors

Co-CEO & Director recently bought US$62k worth of stock

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$3.51 (vs US$15.12 in 3Q 2021)

Markel Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Markel Corporation Promotes Sarah Maxwell to Managing Director, Commercial Excess Wholesale

Markel Corporation Announces Jed Rhoads to Retire as President and Chief Underwriting Officer of Global Reinsurance Division

Markel International Appoints Dan Martin as Managing Director of Distribution Strategies and Business Development

Markel: A Win-Win-Win Stock Everyone Should Own

Independent Director recently bought US$101k worth of stock

Markel Corporation Announces Retirement of Richard R. Whitt, III, Co-Chief Executive Officer, Effective March 31, 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Independent Director recently bought US$100k worth of stock

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Markel Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Markel Corporation Appoints Tim Pasik as Managing Director, Commercial Casualty Product Lines Leader for Markel Specialty's Insurance Operations

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Consensus forecasts updated

Markel Corporation(NYSE:MKL) dropped from Russell 1000 Dynamic Index

Markel: Buy This Profitable Company Before It Is Too Late

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Markel Corp International Appoints Bryan Dressler as Head of Warranty and Indemnity

High number of new directors