Markel Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Markel Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 13.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 0.6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 12.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.6%

Earnings growth rate

-12.1%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	11.3%
Revenue growth rate	0.6%
Future return on equity	9.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Markel Group (NYSE:MKL) Presents An Opportunity

Nov 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MKL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	16,500	1,749	N/A	2,107	4
12/31/2025	15,710	1,519	N/A	2,384	6
12/31/2024	16,383	2,264	N/A	2,193	6
9/30/2024	17,422	2,849	2,638	2,923	N/A
6/30/2024	16,186	2,029	2,679	2,987	N/A
3/31/2024	16,627	2,457	2,840	3,133	N/A
12/31/2023	15,804	1,966	2,528	2,787	N/A
9/30/2023	15,372	1,882	2,593	2,793	N/A
6/30/2023	15,063	1,882	2,573	2,797	N/A
3/31/2023	12,712	269	2,339	2,579	N/A
12/31/2022	11,675	-322	2,455	2,709	N/A
9/30/2022	11,223	-130	2,258	2,532	N/A
6/30/2022	10,844	36	2,182	2,382	N/A
3/31/2022	12,552	1,766	2,205	2,371	N/A
12/31/2021	12,846	2,434	2,129	2,274	N/A
9/30/2021	12,444	2,398	1,989	2,098	N/A
6/30/2021	12,668	2,619	1,956	2,062	N/A
3/31/2021	12,300	2,740	1,888	1,990	N/A
12/31/2020	9,735	769	1,636	1,738	N/A
9/30/2020	8,961	451	1,723	1,824	N/A
6/30/2020	8,082	215	1,389	1,514	N/A
3/31/2020	7,389	-193	1,193	1,321	N/A
12/31/2019	9,526	1,792	1,151	1,274	N/A
9/30/2019	7,988	539	718	842	N/A
6/30/2019	8,190	743	731	834	N/A
3/31/2019	7,738	521	746	854	N/A
12/31/2018	6,841	-133	786	893	N/A
9/30/2018	7,461	1,041	920	1,023	N/A
6/30/2018	6,731	382	N/A	928	N/A
3/31/2018	6,225	248	N/A	904	N/A
12/31/2017	6,062	362	N/A	859	N/A
9/30/2017	5,828	65	N/A	809	N/A
6/30/2017	5,753	406	N/A	702	N/A
3/31/2017	5,648	338	N/A	651	N/A
12/31/2016	5,612	440	N/A	535	N/A
9/30/2016	5,604	511	N/A	425	N/A
6/30/2016	5,515	536	N/A	483	N/A
3/31/2016	5,444	554	N/A	524	N/A
12/31/2015	5,370	587	N/A	651	N/A
9/30/2015	5,285	501	N/A	731	N/A
6/30/2015	5,242	472	N/A	718	N/A
3/31/2015	5,196	415	N/A	717	N/A
12/31/2014	5,134	313	N/A	717	N/A
9/30/2014	5,078	297	N/A	740	N/A
6/30/2014	4,970	288	N/A	743	N/A
3/31/2014	4,743	279	N/A	712	N/A
12/31/2013	4,323	283	N/A	746	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MKL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: MKL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MKL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MKL's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MKL's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MKL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 01:42
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Markel Group Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jacob Kilstein	Argus Research Company
Robert Farnam	Boenning & Scattergood, Inc.
Jay Cohen	BofA Global Research

Markel Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 30%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Markel Group (NYSE:MKL) Presents An Opportunity

Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:MKL) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Jim Hinchley as Chief Retail Officer

Markel Stock: High-Quality At A Discount

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Stacey Hinton as Senior Underwriter, Head of Jewellers Block, Specie

Markel: Remains A Long Term Buy

Markel Appoints April Tam as Senior Underwriter, Professional Financial Risk & Cyber and Head of Financial Institutions in Asia

Markel Appoints Rhys O'neill as Senior Underwriter, Marine & Energy Liability in International Specialty

Markel Group's Q2: Nearly A Century Of Growth Facing Modern Headwinds

Markel Group Inc. Announces the Appointment of Grant Smith as Director, Marine & Energy Liability, International Specialty

Markel Enhances Singapore and Hong Kong Presence with Strategic Hires

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Markel, Insurance Operations Within Markel Group Inc., Appoints Jennifer Devereaux as Executive Underwriting Officer, Casualty, Effective September 3, 2024

Now 21% undervalued

Markel Appoints Jennifer Gebran as Head of Casualty for MENA

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Phil Schmidt as Chief Strategy Officer

Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:MKL) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire unknown majority stake in Valor Environmental.

Now 21% undervalued

Markel Group: Higher-For-Longer Interest Rates Are Increasing Profitability

Chairman of the Board notifies of intention to sell stock

Now 20% undervalued

The Price Is Right For Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:MKL)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 30%

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Promotes Chloe Gordge to Head of Terrorism in London

Markel Group Inc. Announces K. Bruce Connell Is Not Standing for Re-Election as Director

Markel Appoints Oliver Atkin to Head of Bloodstock for London Markets

Markel: Buybacks Are A Good Sign

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Mike Heaton as Chief Operating Officer

Markel: Listening To Warren Buffett And Being Cautious

Markel: I Still See Value In The Long Term

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Markel Group: Soaring Investment Income And Value

Markel Appoints Sebastian Rice as a Senior Underwriter and Head of Business Development for Europe

Revenues Tell The Story For Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:MKL)

Markel Group Inc. Names Meade Grandis Chief Accounting Officer and Controller of Group

Markel: A Hiccup In The Insurance Engine, I'm Still Holding

Markel Group Inc. Announces the Departure of Bob Cox as President and Chief Operating Officer, Global Insurance Operations, Effective from December 31, 2023

Markel Group: Outstanding Business For 2024 And Beyond

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Markel Announces Executive Changes

Markel Appoints Stephen Rogers as Head of Queensland

Markel Group Inc. Appoints Brook Styles as Head of Cargo

Markel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

Markel Set To Resume Historical Growth Rate As Headwinds Subside

Markel Group: A Specialty Insurance Company With A Long-Term Growth Potential

Chairman of the Board notifies of intention to sell stock

Markel, the Insurance Operation Within Markel Group Inc. Appoints Andrew Umphress as the Head of Terrorism for North America

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Group Inc. Announces Senior Leadership Appointments Within Markel Specialty Division

Markel: An Undervalued Financial Holding Company

Markel Group Inc.(NYSE:MKL) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth Index

MARKEL GROUP INC Promotes Sal Pollaro to Executive Underwriting Officer

Insider recently bought US$67k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought US$101k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

High number of new directors

Independent Director recently bought US$531k worth of stock

Markel Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Markel Corporation: Calculating The Mathematical Value

Markel: A Buffett-Like Wealth Compounder

Markel Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 17, 2023

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Markel Corporation Announces Change in Designation of Jeremy A. Noble from Senior Vice President to President, Effective on January 1, 2023

Director recently sold US$138k worth of stock

High number of new directors