Lincoln National Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Lincoln National is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.5% and 10.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.4% in 3 years.

Key information

20.5%

Earnings growth rate

20.6%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	11.5%
Revenue growth rate	10.2%
Future return on equity	11.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Lincoln National: Despite Progress On Capital, Patience Is Required (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 14

Lincoln: The Upside Is Not Yet Over

Jul 08

Lincoln National: Surging Industry Annuity Sales A Boon, Q1 Results Mask Positive Trends

May 27

Lincoln National Q4: Long Turnaround May Leave Shares Languishing

Mar 07

Lincoln National (NYSE:LNC) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.45

Jan 06

Lincoln National: High Yield, Weak Flows Amid Shifting Market Interest Rates

Nov 16

Poor Capital Management Leaves Lincoln National Negatively Positioned

Sep 07

Why Lincoln National Remains One Of My Highest Picks.

Aug 27

Lincoln National: Returning 14% And Worth A Look

Jul 28

Lincoln National: The Commons Or Preferreds? One Might Be Undervalued

Jul 17

Lincoln National: Seriously Undervalued At Peak Pessimism

Jun 16

Lincoln National: Unrealized Bond Losses And Excess Mortality Threaten Stability

May 25

Lincoln National declares $0.45 dividend

Feb 16

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:LNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	19,754	1,439	N/A	N/A	7
12/31/2025	19,193	1,276	600	N/A	8
12/31/2024	18,401	1,573	N/A	N/A	8
9/30/2024	13,545	262	-4,097	-4,097	N/A
6/30/2024	13,586	1,642	-4,024	-4,024	N/A
3/31/2024	11,940	1,258	-2,643	-2,643	N/A
12/31/2023	11,645	-834	-2,074	-2,074	N/A
9/30/2023	14,823	1,233	388	388	N/A
6/30/2023	15,267	-1,362	992	992	N/A
3/31/2023	17,909	-1,030	2,359	2,359	N/A
12/31/2022	18,810	1,358	3,609	3,609	N/A
9/30/2022	20,204	1,239	3,075	3,075	N/A
6/30/2022	20,773	3,334	2,764	2,764	N/A
3/31/2022	20,048	3,144	1,286	1,286	N/A
12/31/2021	17,715	3,778	-217	-217	N/A
9/30/2021	18,763	1,328	301	301	N/A
6/30/2021	18,883	1,408	-668	-668	N/A
3/31/2021	17,548	672	-563	-563	N/A
12/31/2020	17,439	499	534	534	N/A
9/30/2020	17,648	788	512	512	N/A
6/30/2020	16,925	228	847	847	N/A
3/31/2020	17,718	686	-900	-900	N/A
12/31/2019	17,258	886	-2,686	-2,686	N/A
9/30/2019	17,444	853	-1,948	-1,948	N/A
6/30/2019	17,070	1,505	-1,251	-1,251	N/A
3/31/2019	16,780	1,526	472	472	N/A
12/31/2018	16,424	1,641	1,943	1,943	N/A
9/30/2018	15,562	2,057	1,213	1,213	N/A
6/30/2018	14,809	1,985	N/A	1,218	N/A
3/31/2018	14,366	2,011	N/A	819	N/A
12/31/2017	14,257	2,079	N/A	788	N/A
9/30/2017	13,842	1,454	N/A	1,201	N/A
6/30/2017	13,856	1,502	N/A	938	N/A
3/31/2017	13,587	1,416	N/A	1,083	N/A
12/31/2016	13,330	1,192	N/A	1,272	N/A
9/30/2016	13,248	1,285	N/A	1,436	N/A
6/30/2016	13,438	1,046	N/A	2,197	N/A
3/31/2016	13,511	1,065	N/A	2,245	N/A
12/31/2015	13,572	1,154	N/A	2,243	N/A
9/30/2015	14,085	1,219	N/A	2,918	N/A
6/30/2015	13,782	1,431	N/A	2,737	N/A
3/31/2015	13,682	1,485	N/A	2,559	N/A
12/31/2014	13,554	1,514	N/A	2,526	N/A
9/30/2014	12,991	1,517	N/A	1,390	N/A
6/30/2014	12,588	1,415	N/A	1,115	N/A
3/31/2014	12,306	1,334	N/A	1,313	N/A
12/31/2013	11,969	1,244	N/A	799	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LNC's forecast earnings growth (20.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: LNC's earnings (20.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LNC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LNC's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LNC's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 08:43
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lincoln National Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
null null	Argus Research Company
Alex Scott	Barclays
Jay Gelb	Barclays

Lincoln National Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Price target increased by 8.8% to US$32.10

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$28.00

Recent updates

Lincoln National (NYSE:LNC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.45

Lincoln National (NYSE:LNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.45

Third quarter dividend of US$0.45 announced

Lincoln National Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 3, 2025

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Why Lincoln National Remains Interesting And Why Q3 2024 Matters Only A Little

Lincoln Financial Announces Executive Changes

Lincoln National Corporation to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 31, 2025

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Lincoln Financial Reports Passing of Board Member Michael F. Mee

Second quarter dividend of US$0.45 announced

Lincoln National Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on November 1, 2024

Lincoln National: Despite Progress On Capital, Patience Is Required (Rating Upgrade)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Lincoln Financial Group Expands Suite of In-Plan Guaranteed Lifetime Income Products to Offer More Flexibility, Choice and Customization in Retirement

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Lincoln: The Upside Is Not Yet Over

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share

Price target increased by 8.8% to US$32.10

Executive VP and Chief People recently sold US$1.8m worth of stock

First quarter dividend of US$0.45 announced

Lincoln National: Surging Industry Annuity Sales A Boon, Q1 Results Mask Positive Trends

Lincoln National Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on August 1, 2024

Lincoln Financial Group Announces New Version of its Lincoln Level Advantage®? Index-Linked Annuity with the Launch of Lincoln Level Advantage 2SM

Lincoln Financial Group Appoints Brian Kroll as Executive Vice President, Head of Retail Life and Annuity Solutions

Lincoln National Corporation Ceases Matthew Grove as Executive Officer

Osaic Inc. completed the acquisition of Lincoln Financial Advisors Corporation and Lincoln Financial Securities Corporation from Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE:LNC).

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$6.93 (vs US$5.37 loss in 1Q 2023)

Glancy Prongay & Murray LLP Files Securities Fraud Lawsuit Against Lincoln National Corporation

Lincoln National Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2024

Lincoln National Corporation to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 06, 2025

Lincoln Financial Group Introduces Side-By-Side Pooled Employer Retirement Solutions for Businesses and Not-For-Profit Organizations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share

Lincoln National Q4: Long Turnaround May Leave Shares Languishing

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.45 announced

Lincoln National Corporation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable from May 1, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$28.00

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$27.73

Lincoln National (NYSE:LNC) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.45

Lincoln National Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share at 6.7% yield

Lincoln National: High Yield, Weak Flows Amid Shifting Market Interest Rates

Lincoln Financial Group Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on February 1, 2024

New major risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Lincoln Financial Group Receives Regulatory Approval for Reinsurance Transaction with Fortitude Re Ltd

Lincoln Financial Group Introduces Comprehensive Health Savings Solutions for Plan Sponsors

Lincoln Financial Group Names Tina Madon as Senior Vice President, Head of Investor Relations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share at 7.3% yield

Lincoln National Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 01, 2023

Lincoln Financial Group Names Jared Nepa as Head of Life and Moneyguard Distribution

Lincoln National Corporation Elects Owen Ryan to Serve on the Board of Directors

Poor Capital Management Leaves Lincoln National Negatively Positioned

Why Lincoln National Remains One Of My Highest Picks.

Lincoln Financial Group Enhances Customer Experience for Its Employer Clients with New Onboarding Collaboration Tool

Lincoln National Corporation's Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on November 1, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Lincoln National: Returning 14% And Worth A Look

Lincoln National: The Commons Or Preferreds? One Might Be Undervalued

Lincoln National Corporation to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

Lincoln Financial Group Announces Executive Changes

Upcoming dividend of US$0.45 per share at 7.1% yield

Lincoln National: Seriously Undervalued At Peak Pessimism

Lincoln National Corporation Approves the Appointment of Deirdre P. Connelly as Director