AXIS Capital Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
AXIS Capital Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 3% and 2.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.9% in 3 years.
Key information
3.0%
Earnings growth rate
5.95%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance earnings growth | 2.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.8% |
| Future return on equity | 15.92% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 02
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On US$300 Million Share Repurchases
Analysts have nudged their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings higher to $122.36, a shift they link to updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a slightly richer future P/E of 8.24. What's in the News No recent news stories, periodical coverage, or key developments were provided for AXIS Capital Holdings in the supplied sources.Narrative Update • May 13
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On US$300 Million Share Repurchases
Analysts have nudged their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings slightly lower to about $122.36 from roughly $122.45, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings announced a share repurchase program authorizing the company to buy back up to US$300 million of its common shares (Key Developments).Seeking Alpha • May 04
Investment Qualities Of AXIS Capital's Preferred After The Company's Latest Report
Summary AXIS Capital Holdings common stock remains unappealing due to persistent underperformance versus peers and modest forward growth expectations. AXS.PR.E preferred shares offer a 6.99% yield, are investment grade, and appear undervalued relative to both company debt and sector peers. Strong dividend coverage, stable capital structure, and recent $300M share repurchase authorization enhance preferred dividend safety and investor confidence. AXS-E trades at a discount, with potential $1–$2 capital appreciation to reach fair value versus comparable insurance preferreds. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 23
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Buybacks And Firm Fair Value
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings slightly, reducing it from about $123.18 to approximately $122.45. The change reflects updated assumptions related to revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 08
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Buybacks And Firm Fair Value
Analysts have trimmed their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings slightly to about $123.18 from roughly $123.64, reflecting small tweaks to fair value assumptions, discount rate inputs and projected revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E levels. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share buyback plan on February 26, 2026, signaling approval for additional capital returns to shareholders (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 25
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Buybacks And Steady Fair Value
Analysts have adjusted their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings to $123.64. The updated view reflects unchanged fair value estimates, a consistent 6.98% discount rate, and steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 09
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Completed Buybacks And Refined Fair Value
Analysts have left their AXIS Capital Holdings price target effectively unchanged at around $124, reflecting stable views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings Limited announced a share repurchase program authorizing the company to buy back up to $300 million of its common shares (Buyback Transaction Announcements).Narrative Update • Feb 22
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Completed Buybacks And Refined Fair Value
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings to $123.64, citing updated assumptions on future P/E while maintaining steady views on revenue growth and profit margin. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, buying back 2,930,273 shares for $291.53 million, equal to 3.8% of the company.Narrative Update • Feb 07
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Buybacks And Refined Fair Value
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings to about US$123.64 from roughly US$120.91, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly higher discount rate with adjusted expectations for revenue, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Completed share repurchase of 2,930,273 shares, representing 3.8% of shares, for a total of US$291.53 million under the buyback announced on September 17, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 23
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Refined Fair Value And Stable Metrics
Analysts have nudged their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings slightly higher to about $120.91 from $120.00, citing small adjustments in fair value inputs, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings reported that between September 17, 2025 and September 30, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million under its existing buyback program (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 09
AXS: Future Upside Will Rely On Stable Metrics As Buyback Pauses
Analysts now place their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings at US$120.00, up from about US$118.18, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Between September 17, 2025 and September 30, 2025, AXIS Capital Holdings reported no share repurchases under its announced buyback, with 0 shares repurchased for US$0 million, completing that tranche of the program (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 24
AXS: Modest Upside Will Emerge As Buyback Stalls And Fundamentals Hold
Analysts have nudged their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings modestly higher, from approximately $116 to about $118 per share. They cite slightly stronger expected revenue growth, a marginally richer future earnings multiple, and a stable discount rate that together outweigh a small downward tweak to projected profit margins.Narrative Update • Dec 10
AXS: Share Repurchases Will Support Upside As Fundamentals Remain Stable
Analysts have nudged their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings slightly lower to approximately $116.10 per share from about $116.20, reflecting only marginal tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P E assumptions, while maintaining a broadly stable outlook. What's in the News Board of Directors authorizes a new share repurchase plan for AXIS Capital Holdings, setting the framework for future buybacks as of September 17, 2025 (company announcement).Narrative Update • Nov 26
AXS: Share Buyback Program Is Expected To Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings from $115.78 to $116.20. They cite improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher discount rate, despite moderating revenue growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 26
Share Buyback and Leadership Transition Will Shape Specialty Insurance Prospects
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings from $116.38 to $115.78, citing updated projections for revenue growth and adjustments to profit margins. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings Limited announces a share repurchase program of up to $400 million of its common shares (Key Developments) The Board of Directors authorizes a buyback plan on September 17, 2025 (Key Developments) Between July and September 2025, the company completed the repurchase of 4,235,514 shares, representing 5.22% for $400 million under the existing buyback (Key Developments) Matthew Kirk will be appointed Chief Financial Officer effective March 31, 2026 as part of a planned leadership transition (Key Developments) Launch of AXIS Capacity Solutions, a new business unit focused on structured and multi-line portfolio capacity deals (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly from $116.38 to $115.78.Narrative Update • Oct 12
AI And Cyber Investments Will Expand Specialty Insurance Prospects
Analysts have raised their price target for AXIS Capital Holdings from $113.50 to $116.38, citing strengthened revenue growth expectations, even though the outlook for profit margin is slightly lower. What's in the News AXIS Capital Holdings Limited announced a share repurchase program authorizing up to $400 million in common share buybacks (Buyback Transaction Announcements).Analysis Article • Jul 11
Cautious Investors Not Rewarding AXIS Capital Holdings Limited's (NYSE:AXS) Performance Completely
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analysis Article • Jun 13
AXIS Capital Holdings (NYSE:AXS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.44
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited ( NYSE:AXS ) will pay a dividend of $0.44 on the 17th of July. This payment means that...Seeking Alpha • Dec 23
AXIS Capital: A Niche Leader Priced For NOPAT Fall
Summary AXIS Capital is a global leader in specialty insurance and reinsurance, with a 30.2% annual NOPAT growth and a 15.3% ROIC in TTM. The company’s diversified portfolio, disciplined risk management, and innovation focus position it to continue delivering value despite market challenges. AXIS’s market valuation implies a 31% decline in future NOPAT, presenting a compelling investment opportunity given its strong historical performance. Risks include cyclical industry pressures, catastrophic events, regulatory challenges, and competition, but AXIS’s strategic advantages offer robust defenses. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 28
Decisive Enhancements And Digital Investments Poised To Elevate Profitability And Market Position
Improved underwriting discipline from specialty underwriting focus and strategic portfolio reshaping expected to enhance profitability and earnings stability.Seeking Alpha • Aug 15
AXIS Capital: Successful Transition To Less Risky Business Model
Summary We had rated AXIS Capital as a buy in May 2023. The stock has outperformed the broader market and delivered spectacular returns. We go over why we don't like it as much and what are the two big risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 01
AXIS Capital: Promising Niche Insurer, But Unclear Growth Driver Warrants Neutral Rating
Summary AXIS Capital exhibits high-growth expectations, but the recent share buybacks suggest these expectations may be overstated. The company specializes in niche insurance markets and has a global reach, backed by solid financial strength. Analysts expect double-digit earnings growth, but the lack of a clear driver and stretched valuations warrant a neutral rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,184 | 1,129 | N/A | 2,291 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,926 | 1,065 | N/A | 2,179 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,526 | 997 | N/A | 2,041 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,685 | 1,039 | 169 | 169 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 6,564 | 979 | -41 | -41 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,301 | 983 | -316 | -316 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,238 | 862 | -403 | -403 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,055 | 850 | 1,770 | 1,770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,958 | 1,052 | 1,845 | 1,845 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,967 | 615 | 1,739 | 1,739 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,790 | 623 | 1,520 | 1,520 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,724 | 561 | 1,399 | 1,399 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,643 | 346 | 1,256 | 1,256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,610 | 537 | 887 | 887 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,404 | 340 | 922 | 922 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,218 | 224 | 905 | 905 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,135 | 193 | 798 | 798 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,081 | 349 | 1,022 | 1,022 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,191 | 414 | 1,094 | 1,094 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,333 | 614 | 1,103 | 1,103 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,322 | 588 | 1,198 | 1,198 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,206 | 386 | 1,005 | 1,005 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,119 | 266 | 772 | 772 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,982 | 150 | 538 | 538 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,842 | -151 | 344 | 344 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,912 | -156 | 306 | 306 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,951 | -55 | 322 | 322 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,032 | -1 | 207 | 207 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,173 | 282 | N/A | 199 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,083 | 94 | N/A | 121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,123 | 110 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,091 | 36 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,090 | 0 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,202 | 161 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,997 | -350 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,828 | -358 | N/A | 208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,577 | -416 | N/A | 259 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 4,217 | -247 | N/A | 453 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,156 | 398 | N/A | 493 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,129 | 432 | N/A | 385 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 4,006 | 465 | N/A | 407 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,977 | 469 | N/A | 354 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,811 | 540 | N/A | 738 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,774 | 484 | N/A | 805 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,850 | 602 | N/A | 791 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,916 | 630 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 4,137 | 662 | N/A | 586 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AXS's forecast earnings growth (3% per year) is below the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: AXS's earnings (3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AXS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: AXS's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AXS's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AXS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.9%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 05:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Joshua Shanker | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Byrnes | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |