Unicharm Corporation

OTCPK:UNCH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.9b

Unicharm Valuation

Is UNCH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UNCH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UNCH.F ($26.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($35.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UNCH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNCH.F?

Key metric: As UNCH.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UNCH.F. This is calculated by dividing UNCH.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UNCH.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.1x
EarningsJP¥84.61b
Market CapJP¥2.29t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UNCH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UNCH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.9x
CLX Clorox
58.1x20.3%US$20.8b
CHD Church & Dwight
48.6x18.0%US$26.7b
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products
15.5x3.9%US$5.7b
KMB Kimberly-Clark
17.2x2.2%US$44.7b
UNCH.F Unicharm
27.1x10.9%US$2.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UNCH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the peer average (34.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UNCH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UNCH.F 27.1xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UNCH.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNCH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNCH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.1x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UNCH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNCH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$26.50
US$37.22
+40.5%
9.0%US$41.59US$31.24n/a10
Nov ’25US$30.63
US$38.86
+26.9%
8.1%US$42.60US$32.77n/a10
Oct ’25US$37.51
US$39.96
+6.5%
10.7%US$44.63US$31.59n/a10
Sep ’25US$33.85
US$40.07
+18.4%
10.6%US$44.85US$31.74n/a10
Aug ’25US$33.60
US$36.69
+9.2%
9.9%US$40.30US$28.96n/a10
Jul ’25US$31.85
US$36.11
+13.4%
9.7%US$39.80US$28.60n/a10
Jun ’25US$31.32
US$36.65
+17.0%
10.0%US$40.69US$29.25n/a9
May ’25US$29.42
US$37.26
+26.6%
11.3%US$42.18US$30.31n/a9
Apr ’25US$32.50
US$37.95
+16.8%
11.5%US$43.29US$31.11n/a8
Mar ’25US$33.51
US$38.23
+14.1%
9.7%US$42.53US$30.57n/a7
Feb ’25US$35.09
US$36.76
+4.7%
11.1%US$43.36US$29.81n/a9
Jan ’25US$36.72
US$38.85
+5.8%
11.7%US$45.00US$30.94n/a9
Dec ’24US$31.67
US$37.96
+19.9%
11.5%US$44.26US$29.96n/a11
Nov ’24US$34.51
US$40.36
+17.0%
14.0%US$45.83US$30.10US$30.6311
Oct ’24US$35.99
US$40.36
+12.1%
14.0%US$45.83US$30.10US$37.5111
Sep ’24US$40.80
US$40.36
-1.1%
14.0%US$45.83US$30.10US$33.8511
Aug ’24US$37.24
US$40.70
+9.3%
12.9%US$45.86US$31.53US$33.6011
Jul ’24US$36.76
US$40.70
+10.7%
12.9%US$45.86US$31.53US$31.8511
Jun ’24US$38.17
US$40.84
+7.0%
12.3%US$45.94US$31.58US$31.3212
May ’24US$40.79
US$41.94
+2.8%
13.4%US$50.45US$32.64US$29.4212
Apr ’24US$41.91
US$41.70
-0.5%
13.6%US$50.68US$32.79US$32.5011
Mar ’24US$36.34
US$40.54
+11.6%
14.8%US$50.50US$31.94US$33.5111
Feb ’24US$38.00
US$41.21
+8.4%
14.4%US$49.18US$31.51US$35.0911
Jan ’24US$38.90
US$38.31
-1.5%
14.6%US$46.49US$29.78US$36.7212
Dec ’23US$38.27
US$38.48
+0.5%
14.9%US$47.30US$30.30US$31.6713
Nov ’23US$29.91
US$35.59
+19.0%
13.3%US$45.40US$28.21US$34.5114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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