Kao Corporation

OTCPK:KAOC.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$18.9b

Kao Valuation

Is KAOC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KAOC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KAOC.F ($46.73) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($39.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KAOC.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KAOC.F?

Key metric: As KAOC.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KAOC.F. This is calculated by dividing KAOC.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KAOC.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.4x
EarningsJP¥82.36b
Market CapJP¥2.92t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KAOC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KAOC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average59.4x
EL Estée Lauder Companies
112.7x36.0%US$22.9b
KVUE Kenvue
42.9x19.6%US$45.7b
BRBR BellRing Brands
42.2x12.3%US$9.3b
COTY Coty
39.8x23.3%US$6.3b
KAOC.F Kao
35.4x12.2%US$2.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KAOC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (59.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KAOC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Personal Products Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEPT.F Neptune Wellness Solutions
n/an/aUS$4.00
No more companies available in this PE range
KAOC.F 35.4xIndustry Avg. 26.5xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KAOC.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the North American Personal Products industry average (26.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KAOC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KAOC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KAOC.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KAOC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$48.00
0%
8.7%US$55.08US$41.31n/a10
Nov ’25US$46.73
US$47.97
+2.7%
8.7%US$55.05US$41.29n/a10
Oct ’25US$48.11
US$51.70
+7.5%
8.2%US$58.64US$43.98n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$50.76
0%
7.6%US$54.59US$43.54n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$45.54
0%
8.6%US$51.14US$39.77n/a10
Jul ’25US$39.98
US$44.48
+11.2%
8.2%US$50.37US$39.17n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
US$44.97
0%
8.0%US$51.50US$40.06n/a10
May ’25n/a
US$40.90
0%
11.6%US$47.50US$34.83n/a10
Apr ’25US$38.68
US$43.08
+11.4%
11.7%US$50.59US$37.10n/a9
Mar ’25n/a
US$44.13
0%
16.5%US$58.68US$35.14n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
US$44.68
0%
16.8%US$59.62US$35.70n/a9
Jan ’25US$42.11
US$45.51
+8.1%
16.8%US$61.87US$37.05n/a9
Dec ’24US$38.55
US$42.06
+9.1%
18.9%US$59.36US$29.01n/a11
Nov ’24US$36.89
US$39.74
+7.7%
21.3%US$58.74US$26.70US$46.7311
Oct ’24US$36.24
US$39.64
+9.4%
21.6%US$59.04US$26.84US$48.1111
Sep ’24n/a
US$39.63
0%
23.4%US$60.34US$27.43n/a11
Aug ’24US$37.78
US$41.66
+10.3%
24.7%US$63.05US$27.94n/a11
Jul ’24n/a
US$41.66
0%
24.7%US$63.05US$27.94US$39.9811
Jun ’24US$35.99
US$42.40
+17.8%
22.1%US$62.66US$27.77n/a12
May ’24US$40.02
US$44.66
+11.6%
21.2%US$65.28US$29.30n/a12
Apr ’24US$39.35
US$45.63
+16.0%
21.7%US$66.28US$29.75US$38.6811
Mar ’24US$36.58
US$44.21
+20.8%
20.7%US$64.62US$29.01n/a12
Feb ’24US$40.56
US$47.82
+17.9%
19.6%US$67.62US$30.74n/a12
Jan ’24US$41.48
US$45.09
+8.7%
21.7%US$65.90US$29.95US$42.1113
Dec ’23US$38.23
US$45.12
+18.0%
21.0%US$65.03US$29.56US$38.5514
Nov ’23US$36.45
US$42.35
+16.2%
19.7%US$59.39US$27.00US$36.8915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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