The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

NYSE:EL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$32.9b

Estée Lauder Companies Valuation

Is EL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EL ($91.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($68.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.7x
PEG Ratio3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average61.6x
KVUE Kenvue
37.6x17.8%US$42.0b
COTY Coty
106.8x29.0%US$8.1b
BRBR BellRing Brands
32.7x10.6%US$7.2b
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
69.1x34.6%US$8.4b
EL Estée Lauder Companies
84.3x28.0%US$32.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.3x) compared to the peer average (61.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.9%
n/an/an/a
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.3x) compared to the North American Personal Products industry average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio84.3x
Fair PE Ratio44.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$91.66
US$117.25
+27.9%
17.1%US$176.00US$86.00n/a26
Aug ’25US$97.12
US$137.21
+41.3%
18.6%US$210.00US$100.00n/a26
Jul ’25US$105.38
US$149.06
+41.4%
14.1%US$210.00US$122.00n/a27
Jun ’25US$123.36
US$153.00
+24.0%
13.4%US$210.00US$130.00n/a26
May ’25US$127.37
US$159.76
+25.4%
12.0%US$210.00US$130.00n/a27
Apr ’25US$152.03
US$160.57
+5.6%
11.5%US$210.00US$131.00n/a27
Mar ’25US$148.83
US$160.69
+8.0%
11.3%US$210.00US$131.00n/a28
Feb ’25US$134.70
US$145.45
+8.0%
16.9%US$208.00US$115.00n/a29
Jan ’25US$146.25
US$139.83
-4.4%
19.7%US$208.00US$100.00n/a29
Dec ’24US$131.94
US$136.31
+3.3%
21.2%US$208.00US$100.00n/a29
Nov ’24US$104.51
US$169.74
+62.4%
20.6%US$249.00US$100.00n/a27
Oct ’24US$144.55
US$186.61
+29.1%
13.5%US$249.00US$146.00n/a28
Sep ’24US$161.70
US$190.33
+17.7%
14.0%US$249.00US$146.00US$91.6628
Aug ’24US$175.03
US$223.76
+27.8%
10.7%US$265.00US$180.00US$97.1228
Jul ’24US$196.38
US$235.41
+19.9%
10.0%US$270.00US$180.00US$105.3829
Jun ’24US$182.89
US$238.66
+30.5%
8.7%US$270.00US$180.00US$123.3630
May ’24US$246.87
US$284.57
+15.3%
7.8%US$320.00US$210.00US$127.3731
Apr ’24US$246.46
US$285.28
+15.7%
7.8%US$320.00US$210.00US$152.0331
Mar ’24US$245.83
US$284.54
+15.7%
8.5%US$320.00US$210.00US$148.8331
Feb ’24US$280.80
US$269.61
-4.0%
10.1%US$315.00US$210.00US$134.7029
Jan ’24US$248.11
US$252.11
+1.6%
9.9%US$302.00US$206.00US$146.2528
Dec ’23US$231.96
US$243.04
+4.8%
9.7%US$287.00US$206.00US$131.9426
Nov ’23US$206.76
US$288.00
+39.3%
12.1%US$377.00US$227.00US$104.5125
Oct ’23US$215.90
US$307.20
+42.3%
8.8%US$377.00US$229.00US$144.5525
Sep ’23US$251.18
US$308.60
+22.9%
9.7%US$380.00US$229.00US$161.7025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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