Coty Inc.

NYSE:COTY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.5b

Coty Valuation

Is COTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COTY ($7.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($5.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COTY is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COTY?

Key metric: As COTY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COTY. This is calculated by dividing COTY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COTY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.4x
EarningsUS$157.50m
Market CapUS$6.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.6x
IPAR Interparfums
28.4x7.9%US$4.4b
BRBR BellRing Brands
40.4x12.0%US$10.0b
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
70.4x25.0%US$7.9b
ODD Oddity Tech
27.3x18.5%US$2.8b
COTY Coty
40.4x23.0%US$6.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the peer average (41.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Personal Products Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEPT.F Neptune Wellness Solutions
n/an/aUS$98.52k
No more companies available in this PE range
COTY 40.4xIndustry Avg. 28.4xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the North American Personal Products industry average (29x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.4x
Fair PE Ratio32.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.32
US$10.16
+38.8%
20.0%US$15.00US$7.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$7.39
US$10.32
+39.6%
19.6%US$15.00US$7.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$7.48
US$11.58
+54.8%
15.9%US$15.00US$8.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$9.17
US$12.55
+36.8%
14.9%US$17.00US$10.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$9.38
US$12.67
+35.1%
13.7%US$17.00US$10.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$9.66
US$12.82
+32.7%
11.9%US$16.50US$11.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$9.76
US$13.17
+34.9%
12.2%US$16.50US$11.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$10.36
US$13.27
+28.1%
11.3%US$16.50US$11.00n/a20
May ’25US$11.29
US$13.35
+18.3%
11.6%US$17.50US$11.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$11.89
US$13.57
+14.1%
12.2%US$17.50US$11.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$12.67
US$13.53
+6.7%
12.7%US$17.50US$10.50n/a20
Feb ’25US$12.24
US$13.15
+7.4%
11.9%US$17.00US$10.50n/a20
Jan ’25US$12.42
US$12.75
+2.7%
13.6%US$17.00US$10.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$11.58
US$12.65
+9.2%
13.6%US$17.00US$10.00US$7.3920
Nov ’24US$9.32
US$12.78
+37.1%
12.2%US$15.00US$10.00US$7.4818
Oct ’24US$10.97
US$13.42
+22.4%
10.5%US$16.00US$11.00US$9.1716
Sep ’24US$11.57
US$13.17
+13.8%
9.7%US$15.00US$11.00US$9.3816
Aug ’24US$11.71
US$13.57
+15.9%
10.0%US$17.00US$11.50US$9.6615
Jul ’24US$12.29
US$13.30
+8.2%
10.8%US$16.00US$11.50US$9.7615
Jun ’24US$10.99
US$13.23
+20.4%
11.1%US$16.00US$11.50US$10.3615
May ’24US$11.81
US$12.62
+6.8%
14.9%US$16.00US$8.25US$11.2915
Apr ’24US$12.06
US$11.95
-0.9%
16.6%US$15.00US$8.25US$11.8915
Mar ’24US$11.31
US$11.88
+5.1%
15.9%US$15.00US$8.25US$12.6715
Feb ’24US$10.25
US$10.84
+5.7%
20.1%US$15.00US$7.00US$12.2414
Jan ’24US$8.56
US$10.27
+20.0%
24.3%US$15.00US$7.00US$12.4215
Dec ’23US$7.94
US$10.20
+28.5%
24.4%US$15.00US$7.00US$11.5815

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 06:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Coty Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mariano SzachtmanBanco Santander
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Lauren LiebermanBarclays