Coty Valuation

Is COTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COTY ($9.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COTY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COTY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

COTY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.7x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.7x
BRBR BellRing Brands
37.2x14.3%US$7.2b
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
85.6x21.1%US$10.8b
IPAR Inter Parfums
25.7x13.1%US$3.5b
ODD Oddity Tech
30.1x19.0%US$2.3b
COTY Coty
41.1x28.8%US$8.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.1x) compared to the peer average (44.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.1x) compared to the Global Personal Products industry average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.1x
Fair PE Ratio38.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.81
US$13.27
+35.3%
11.3%US$16.50US$11.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$10.36
US$13.27
+28.1%
11.3%US$16.50US$11.00n/a20
May ’25US$11.29
US$13.35
+18.3%
11.6%US$17.50US$11.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$11.89
US$13.57
+14.1%
12.2%US$17.50US$11.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$12.67
US$13.53
+6.7%
12.7%US$17.50US$10.50n/a20
Feb ’25US$12.24
US$13.15
+7.4%
11.9%US$17.00US$10.50n/a20
Jan ’25US$12.42
US$12.75
+2.7%
13.6%US$17.00US$10.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$11.58
US$12.65
+9.2%
13.6%US$17.00US$10.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$9.32
US$12.78
+37.1%
12.2%US$15.00US$10.00n/a18
Oct ’24US$10.97
US$13.42
+22.4%
10.5%US$16.00US$11.00n/a16
Sep ’24US$11.57
US$13.17
+13.8%
9.7%US$15.00US$11.00n/a16
Aug ’24US$11.71
US$13.57
+15.9%
10.0%US$17.00US$11.50n/a15
Jul ’24US$12.29
US$13.30
+8.2%
10.8%US$16.00US$11.50n/a15
Jun ’24US$10.99
US$13.23
+20.4%
11.1%US$16.00US$11.50US$10.3615
May ’24US$11.81
US$12.62
+6.8%
14.9%US$16.00US$8.25US$11.2915
Apr ’24US$12.06
US$11.95
-0.9%
16.6%US$15.00US$8.25US$11.8915
Mar ’24US$11.31
US$11.88
+5.1%
15.9%US$15.00US$8.25US$12.6715
Feb ’24US$10.25
US$10.84
+5.7%
20.1%US$15.00US$7.00US$12.2414
Jan ’24US$8.56
US$10.27
+20.0%
24.3%US$15.00US$7.00US$12.4215
Dec ’23US$7.94
US$10.20
+28.5%
24.4%US$15.00US$7.00US$11.5815
Nov ’23US$6.89
US$10.34
+50.0%
22.0%US$15.00US$7.00US$9.3215
Oct ’23US$6.32
US$10.65
+68.6%
18.6%US$15.00US$8.00US$10.9715
Sep ’23US$7.47
US$10.42
+39.5%
19.9%US$15.00US$8.00US$11.5714
Aug ’23US$7.33
US$10.48
+42.9%
22.3%US$15.00US$7.00US$11.7114
Jul ’23US$7.77
US$10.71
+37.8%
24.1%US$15.00US$7.00US$12.2915
Jun ’23US$7.04
US$10.76
+52.9%
24.8%US$15.00US$7.00US$10.9914

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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