We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Coty Valuation

Is COTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COTY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

COTY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15x
PEG Ratio3.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.1x
BRBR BellRing Brands
45.1x29.9%US$3.7b
IPAR Inter Parfums
35.8x9.9%US$3.7b
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
89x31.5%US$3.0b
NUS Nu Skin Enterprises
54.5x33.0%US$2.1b
COTY Coty
107.4x29.1%US$8.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (107.4x) compared to the peer average (56.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (107.4x) compared to the US Personal Products industry average (19.9x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio107.4x
Fair PE Ratio42.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (107.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COTY ($9.83) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COTY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.96
US$10.84
+8.8%
20.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a14
Jan ’24US$8.56
US$10.27
+20.0%
24.3%US$15.00US$7.00n/a15
Dec ’23US$7.94
US$10.20
+28.5%
24.4%US$15.00US$7.00n/a15
Nov ’23US$6.89
US$10.34
+50.0%
22.0%US$15.00US$7.00n/a15
Oct ’23US$6.32
US$10.65
+68.6%
18.6%US$15.00US$8.00n/a15
Sep ’23US$7.47
US$10.42
+39.5%
19.9%US$15.00US$8.00n/a14
Aug ’23US$7.33
US$10.48
+42.9%
22.3%US$15.00US$7.00n/a14
Jul ’23US$7.77
US$10.71
+37.8%
24.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a15
Jun ’23US$7.04
US$10.76
+52.9%
24.8%US$15.00US$7.00n/a14
May ’23US$8.11
US$12.16
+50.0%
24.1%US$20.00US$8.00n/a14
Apr ’23US$8.97
US$12.52
+39.6%
22.1%US$20.00US$8.80n/a14
Mar ’23US$8.99
US$12.66
+40.9%
21.2%US$20.00US$8.80n/a14
Feb ’23US$8.57
US$12.59
+46.9%
21.6%US$20.00US$8.80n/a14
Jan ’23US$10.50
US$12.62
+20.2%
24.1%US$20.00US$8.25US$8.5613
Dec ’22US$9.31
US$12.40
+33.2%
23.9%US$20.00US$8.25US$7.9414
Nov ’22US$8.71
US$10.70
+22.8%
23.6%US$15.00US$7.10US$6.8912
Oct ’22US$8.18
US$10.68
+30.6%
22.4%US$15.00US$7.10US$6.3213
Sep ’22US$9.73
US$11.10
+14.1%
21.2%US$15.00US$7.60US$7.4711
Aug ’22US$8.73
US$10.08
+15.4%
26.9%US$15.00US$6.00US$7.3313
Jul ’22US$9.31
US$10.08
+8.2%
26.9%US$15.00US$6.00US$7.7713
Jun ’22US$9.05
US$10.17
+12.3%
27.6%US$15.00US$6.00US$7.0412
May ’22US$10.01
US$9.71
-3.0%
30.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$8.1113
Apr ’22US$8.97
US$7.77
-13.4%
23.6%US$11.00US$5.00US$8.9713
Mar ’22US$8.07
US$7.38
-8.6%
23.0%US$10.00US$5.00US$8.9912
Feb ’22US$6.56
US$6.50
-0.9%
29.1%US$10.00US$4.00US$8.5712
Jan ’22US$7.02
US$6.27
-10.7%
30.9%US$10.00US$4.00US$10.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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