How Investors May Respond To Kimberly-Clark (KMB) Net Income Drop and Revised 2025 Outlook

Simply Wall St
  • Kimberly-Clark announced past third-quarter results, reporting sales of US$4,150 million, flat compared to the previous year, but net income decreased to US$446 million from US$907 million, alongside completion of a multi-year share buyback program totaling 9.18 million shares for US$1.25 billion.
  • The company's updated 2025 earnings outlook reflects ongoing challenges from divestitures and portfolio adjustments, projecting modest profit growth after accounting for currency headwinds and the exits from certain business lines.
  • We'll assess how the decline in net income and revised 2025 guidance affect Kimberly-Clark's existing investment narrative.

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Kimberly-Clark Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Kimberly-Clark shareholder, you need to believe in the resilience of its core hygiene and personal care brands, underpinned by steady consumer demand and the company’s ability to drive earnings through innovation and operational efficiency. While the recent news of flat sales and a sharp decrease in net income highlights pressures from business exits and divestitures, the short-term catalyst remains stable demand for essential products, with the most pressing risk being the increased dependency on the North American and Personal Care segments, a risk heightened but not materially changed by these results.

Among the recent company updates, the completed buyback program stands out: Kimberly-Clark repurchased over 9.18 million shares for approximately US$1.25 billion since 2021. This move reduces share count and may boost metrics like earnings per share, yet in the context of ongoing margin pressure and portfolio changes, its immediate contribution to long-term catalysts such as margin expansion or premium product growth remains limited.

However, investors should be aware that in contrast to steady global demand, heightened reliance on North America and fewer business lines means that...

Read the full narrative on Kimberly-Clark (it's free!)

Kimberly-Clark's outlook anticipates $17.6 billion in revenue and $2.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This reflects a 3.6% annual revenue decline and flat earnings, with no change from current earnings of $2.4 billion.

Uncover how Kimberly-Clark's forecasts yield a $137.22 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

KMB Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Four differing fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$109.99 to US$137.22 per share. While many recognize Kimberly-Clark’s strong brands and recent buyback, growing concentration in fewer markets could shape performance in the years ahead; consider the variety of views before forming your own outlook.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Kimberly-Clark - why the stock might be worth 8% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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