Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.

NYSE:GRDN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.7b

Guardian Pharmacy Services Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Guardian Pharmacy Services is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.8% and 5.3% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 14.6% per annum.

Key information

15.8%

Earnings growth rate

14.65%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare earnings growth19.3%
Revenue growth rate5.3%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 15

Guardian Pharmacy Services: Waiting For A Better Entry Point

Summary Guardian Pharmacy Services (GRDN) earns a hold rating due to robust fundamentals but stretched valuation. GRDN’s moat is rooted in workflow integration and specialized tools, driving high adoption in assisted living and behavioral health facilities. The Inflation Reduction Act poses a revenue headwind, but GRDN’s margin resilience and scale position it to weather and even benefit competitively. At ~30x NTM PE, GRDN trades at a premium to peers and its historical average, limiting near-term upside despite strong execution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Nov 11

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (NYSE:GRDN) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

The Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. ( NYSE:GRDN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an...
Analysis Article Aug 20

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (NYSE:GRDN) After Shares Rise 25%

NYSE:GRDN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Guardian Pharmacy Services's Fair Values from the Community and...
Analysis Article Jun 25

A Look At The Fair Value Of Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (NYSE:GRDN)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Guardian Pharmacy Services is US$21.37 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to...
Analysis Article May 15

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 17%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. ( NYSE:GRDN ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Seeking Alpha Oct 02

Guardian Pharmacy Services: Questions After A Successful IPO

Summary Guardian Pharmacy Services shares saw a 20% rally following the offering, after being priced at the lower end of the range. The company operates in a competitive industry with thin margins and is not valued cheaply based on earnings power, leaving me to hold a cautious stance. Guardian's business model focuses on providing technology-enabled pharmacy services to long-term healthcare facilities, with significant reliance on Medicare D. Thin margins and potential risks from changing healthcare legislation make that this is a prove-to-me-first story. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GRDN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,69085N/AN/A3
12/31/20271,52377921126
12/31/20261,41570841026
3/31/20261,456537089N/A
12/31/20251,4494981100N/A
9/30/20251,390176888N/A
6/30/20251,327-923858N/A
3/31/20251,282-1014867N/A
12/31/20241,228-1104258N/A
9/30/20241,171-993650N/A
6/30/20241,119135367N/A
3/31/20241,073-24762N/A
12/31/20231,046N/A5671N/A
9/30/20231,002125066N/A
6/30/2023976234562N/A
3/31/2023947193855N/A
12/31/2022909353249N/A
9/30/2022882193953N/A
3/31/2022822344960N/A
12/31/2021792164958N/A
9/30/2021771314857N/A
3/31/2021732214654N/A
12/31/2020736204453N/A
9/30/2020730164455N/A
12/31/201969822N/A56N/A
9/30/201967717N/A50N/A
12/31/201860015N/A44N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GRDN's forecast earnings growth (15.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: GRDN's earnings (15.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GRDN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GRDN's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GRDN's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GRDN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/18 21:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Allen LutzBofA Global Research
Kam Wai KwokCGS International
Brian TanquilutJefferies LLC