Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Evolent Health, Inc. (NYSE:EVH) Underpins Its Share Price

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Evolent Health, Inc. (NYSE:EVH) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Healthcare Services companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Evolent Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:EVH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 14th 2025
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What Does Evolent Health's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Evolent Health as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Evolent Health.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Evolent Health's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 181% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.8% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Evolent Health's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Evolent Health's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Evolent Health that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Evolent Health's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Evolent Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.