Stock Analysis

Elevance Health (ELV): Evaluating Valuation After Recent 10% Share Price Decline

Elevance Health (ELV) shares have eased modestly over the past month, with the stock sliding around 10%. Investors are keeping an eye on the company’s recent performance and trends in the broader healthcare sector as they gauge its next move.

See our latest analysis for Elevance Health.

Looking at the bigger picture, Elevance Health’s share price has seen both spurts and setbacks this year. While the company has made progress growing both revenue and net income, momentum has faded lately. The year-to-date share price return is -14.2% and the one-year total shareholder return is -20.8%. This signals that investors have recently grown more cautious about its prospects even after years of solid gains.

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With the recent pullback and a significant discount to analyst price targets, is Elevance Health now trading below its true worth? Or is the market already factoring in the company’s future prospects, leaving little room for upside?

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Most Popular Narrative: 18.7% Undervalued

Compared to the last closing price, the narrative assigns Elevance Health a fair value well above current levels, setting up a compelling reversal from recent declines. The detailed justification behind this target draws on margin recovery, digital strategy, and long-term catalysts unique to Elevance Health.

The company is aggressively leveraging advanced analytics, digitization, and AI-enabled tools to streamline clinical workflows, automate processes, reduce fraud, and improve cost management. These initiatives are expected to lower administrative costs, increase operational efficiency, and gradually stabilize or expand net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Why do analysts think Elevance Health deserves this hefty markup? It hinges on game-changing earnings projections and crucial shifts in profit margins, assumptions that may surprise you. Want to see the full financial playbook driving this valuation? You will not believe the numbers that shape the most widely followed narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $386 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent medical cost pressures and shifts in Medicaid policy could threaten Elevance Health’s margin recovery and challenge the current undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Elevance Health narrative.

Build Your Own Elevance Health Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig deeper into Elevance Health’s story, you can analyze the data and craft your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Elevance Health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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