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DaVita (DVA): Evaluating Valuation After Prolonged Share Price Weakness
Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
DaVita (DVA) has seen its shares trade down over the past month, with stock performance trailing well behind the broader market. Investors are weighing recent results and looking closely at underlying financial trends.
See our latest analysis for DaVita.
After a tough run this year, DaVita’s share price has continued to slide, with a 17.29% decline year-to-date and a one-year total shareholder return of -23.43%. While short-term momentum remains weak, the notable gains over the last several years suggest underlying resilience even in the face of recent pressures.
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This raises a critical question for investors: Is DaVita’s recent selloff a sign of undervaluation and a potential entry point, or is the market already anticipating the company’s future growth trajectory?
Most Popular Narrative: 19% Undervalued
DaVita’s share price at $123.91 sits well below the most popular narrative’s fair value estimate of $153.50. With analysts still seeing meaningful upside, investor sentiment appears misaligned with projected fundamentals.
Ongoing investments in technology, AI, and data analytics are driving structural cost reductions through improved operational efficiency and enhanced clinical outcomes. Management expects these improvements to support margin enhancement even in periods of flat or negative volume growth.
Want to know which financial levers could power a sharp re-rating in DaVita’s valuation? The narrative hints at margin expansion and revenue gains from trends others might miss. Find out why this thesis suggests the market is behind the curve.
Result: Fair Value of $153.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, persistent high mortality rates and slower adoption of new clinical innovations could limit DaVita’s patient growth and margin improvement in the near term.
Find out about the key risks to this DaVita narrative.
Build Your Own DaVita Narrative
If you have a different take or want to see the numbers firsthand, you can craft your own narrative with just a few clicks. Do it your way
A great starting point for your DaVita research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:DVA
DaVita
Provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States.
Very undervalued with imperfect balance sheet.
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