Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s (NYSE:CON) Annual Report

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (NYSE:CON) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.6% to US$22.44 in the week after its latest full-year results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$1.9b and statutory earnings per share of US$1.46 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Concentra Group Holdings Parent is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Concentra Group Holdings Parent

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Concentra Group Holdings Parent from seven analysts is for revenues of US$2.10b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 10% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$1.32, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$2.09b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.32 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$27.75, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Concentra Group Holdings Parent at US$30.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$24.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Concentra Group Holdings Parent is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Concentra Group Holdings Parent's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 10% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.4% per annum over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.1% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Concentra Group Holdings Parent to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Concentra Group Holdings Parent going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.