Surmodics Valuation

Is SRDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SRDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SRDX ($39.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($103)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SRDX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRDX?

Key metric: As SRDX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SRDX. This is calculated by dividing SRDX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SRDX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
SalesUS$126.08m
Market CapUS$559.12m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SRDX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SRDX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.1x
AXGN Axogen
3.1x11.0%US$567.7m
SIBN SI-BONE
3.2x16.6%US$509.5m
BFLY Butterfly Network
9.3x17.2%US$705.7m
VREX Varex Imaging
0.8x2.7%US$633.7m
SRDX Surmodics
4.4x11.7%US$559.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SRDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (4.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SRDX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

52 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INGN Inogen
0.7x4.2%US$226.04m
ARAY Accuray
0.4x5.5%US$185.04m
NVRO Nevro
0.4x2.5%US$158.88m
KEQU Kewaunee Scientific
0.6xn/aUS$118.20m
SRDX 4.4xIndustry Avg. 3.2xNo. of Companies52PS02.85.68.411.214+
52 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SRDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SRDX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SRDX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SRDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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