Tactile Systems Technology, Inc.

NasdaqGM:TCMD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$428.3m

Tactile Systems Technology Valuation

Is TCMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCMD ($17.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($62.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCMD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCMD?

Key metric: As TCMD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCMD. This is calculated by dividing TCMD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCMD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.7x
EarningsUS$15.45m
Market CapUS$428.35m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCMD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.7x
SMLR Semler Scientific
29.1xn/aUS$462.5m
ZYXI Zynex
54.5x45.8%US$263.0m
ELMD Electromed
38.9xn/aUS$252.0m
IRMD IRADIMED
36.2x15.5%US$674.6m
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology
27.7x29.3%US$428.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCMD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.7x) compared to the peer average (39.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCMD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHUA Meihua International Medical Technologies
2xn/aUS$18.77m
PAVM PAVmed
0.7x-77.8%US$10.99m
RTSL Rapid Therapeutic Science Laboratories
0.3xn/aUS$18.99k
UTRS Minerva Surgical
n/an/aUS$8.00
TCMD 27.7xIndustry Avg. 37.2xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCMD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.7x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (37.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCMD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCMD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.7x
Fair PE Ratio31x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TCMD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.85
US$24.00
+34.5%
4.2%US$25.00US$23.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$14.69
US$21.00
+43.0%
16.1%US$25.00US$16.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$14.30
US$21.00
+46.9%
16.1%US$25.00US$16.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$13.69
US$20.33
+48.5%
18.1%US$25.00US$16.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$12.44
US$20.67
+66.1%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$11.41
US$20.67
+81.1%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$12.73
US$20.67
+62.3%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
May ’25US$14.34
US$20.67
+44.1%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$15.67
US$20.67
+31.9%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$15.35
US$20.67
+34.6%
16.0%US$25.00US$17.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$15.77
US$24.00
+52.2%
18.9%US$30.00US$19.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$14.30
US$24.00
+67.8%
18.9%US$30.00US$19.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$13.77
US$24.00
+74.4%
18.9%US$30.00US$19.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$11.71
US$27.33
+133.4%
13.8%US$30.00US$22.00US$14.693
Oct ’24US$14.05
US$29.67
+111.2%
1.6%US$30.00US$29.00US$14.303
Sep ’24US$19.10
US$29.67
+55.3%
1.6%US$30.00US$29.00US$13.693
Aug ’24US$22.81
US$27.33
+19.8%
9.1%US$30.00US$24.00US$12.443
Jul ’24US$24.93
US$27.33
+9.6%
9.1%US$30.00US$24.00US$11.413
Jun ’24US$21.90
US$27.33
+24.8%
9.1%US$30.00US$24.00US$12.733
May ’24US$18.57
US$23.67
+27.4%
17.7%US$28.00US$18.00US$14.343
Apr ’24US$16.42
US$24.33
+48.2%
20.2%US$30.00US$18.00US$15.673
Mar ’24US$14.47
US$24.33
+68.2%
20.2%US$30.00US$18.00US$15.353
Feb ’24US$13.17
US$23.33
+77.2%
16.5%US$27.00US$18.00US$15.773
Jan ’24US$11.48
US$23.33
+103.3%
16.5%US$27.00US$18.00US$14.303
Dec ’23US$8.79
US$23.33
+165.5%
16.5%US$27.00US$18.00US$13.773
Nov ’23US$7.01
US$23.33
+232.9%
16.5%US$27.00US$18.00US$11.713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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