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R1 RCM Valuation

Is RCM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RCM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RCM ($14.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($53.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RCM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RCM?

Key metric: As RCM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RCM. This is calculated by dividing RCM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RCM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.5x
SalesUS$2.46b
Market CapUS$6.04b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RCM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RCM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.4x
RDNT RadNet
3.4x7.6%US$6.0b
CRVL CorVel
7.5xn/aUS$6.2b
GH Guardant Health
5.8x17.0%US$3.8b
OPCH Option Care Health
0.8x7.4%US$3.8b
RCM R1 RCM
2.5x12.2%US$6.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RCM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RCM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCK McKesson
0.2x8.1%US$79.75b
CVS CVS Health
0.2x4.6%US$71.86b
COR Cencora
0.2x6.4%US$48.16b
CNC Centene
0.2x5.5%US$30.47b
RCM 2.5xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies30PS012345+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RCM is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RCM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RCM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RCM is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RCM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.31
US$14.82
+3.6%
10.0%US$19.00US$14.30n/a9
Nov ’25US$14.26
US$14.70
+3.1%
9.3%US$19.00US$14.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$14.18
US$14.69
+3.6%
8.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$14.11
US$14.69
+4.1%
8.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a13
Aug ’25US$14.13
US$15.63
+10.6%
11.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$12.56
US$16.57
+31.9%
11.8%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$12.86
US$16.79
+30.5%
11.5%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
May ’25US$12.36
US$16.93
+37.0%
10.6%US$20.00US$14.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$12.56
US$17.20
+36.9%
8.5%US$20.00US$15.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$14.00
US$17.06
+21.9%
9.4%US$20.00US$14.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$10.75
US$16.18
+50.5%
15.8%US$20.00US$11.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$10.57
US$17.25
+63.2%
18.2%US$26.00US$11.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$10.87
US$18.09
+66.5%
14.5%US$26.00US$14.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$12.10
US$21.41
+76.9%
9.6%US$26.00US$18.00US$14.2616
Oct ’24US$15.07
US$21.38
+41.9%
9.3%US$26.00US$18.00US$14.1817
Sep ’24US$17.61
US$21.38
+21.4%
9.3%US$26.00US$18.00US$14.1117
Aug ’24US$17.65
US$20.13
+14.0%
12.3%US$26.00US$16.00US$14.1316
Jul ’24US$18.45
US$20.06
+8.7%
12.4%US$26.00US$16.00US$12.5616
Jun ’24US$16.43
US$19.44
+18.3%
12.2%US$26.00US$16.00US$12.8616
May ’24US$15.54
US$18.88
+21.5%
13.6%US$26.00US$15.00US$12.3616
Apr ’24US$15.00
US$18.96
+26.4%
15.0%US$26.00US$15.00US$12.5613
Mar ’24US$14.19
US$18.25
+28.6%
18.6%US$26.00US$11.00US$14.0014
Feb ’24US$14.65
US$15.36
+4.8%
21.4%US$25.00US$11.00US$10.7514
Jan ’24US$10.95
US$14.00
+27.9%
25.7%US$25.00US$10.00US$10.5713
Dec ’23US$9.02
US$13.55
+50.2%
29.4%US$25.00US$10.00US$10.8711
Nov ’23US$17.71
US$30.73
+73.5%
10.8%US$35.00US$25.00US$12.1011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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