Stock Analysis

Progyny (PGNY) Is Up 35.6% After Strong Earnings, Raised Guidance, and $200M Buyback Announcements

  • Progyny, Inc. recently reported strong third-quarter earnings, provided raised guidance for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025, and announced a US$200 million share repurchase program alongside new client growth and expanded offerings.
  • Analyst upgrades have highlighted the potential impact of regulatory developments such as the California IVF mandate and Progyny’s continued traction in expanding covered lives and client count.
  • We'll look at how Progyny's robust earnings guidance and buyback plan may influence its investment narrative going forward.

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Progyny Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Progyny shareholder, you need to believe in the ongoing adoption of employer-sponsored fertility and women's health benefits, and Progyny's ability to expand its client base and covered lives faster than others in the sector. The raised revenue guidance and new buyback plan reinforce confidence in short-term growth, though competition from integrated health insurers remains the key risk; the latest news does not materially shift this balance.

Among recent announcements, the US$200 million share repurchase program is especially relevant, aligning with management's raised guidance and ongoing earnings momentum. This move could reinforce shareholder confidence as new client wins and expanded offerings continue to serve as potential catalysts for future growth.

However, investors should also keep in mind the risks from heightened competition and evolving benefit priorities among large employers, especially if...

Read the full narrative on Progyny (it's free!)

Progyny's outlook anticipates $1.6 billion in revenue and $112.9 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on an 8.9% annual revenue growth rate and an increase in earnings of $59.8 million from the current $53.1 million.

Uncover how Progyny's forecasts yield a $28.25 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PGNY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
PGNY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Four independent fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$21 to US$71, revealing wide differences in expectations. Against this diversity, expanding demand for benefits stands out as a recurring theme to watch in Progyny's performance outlook.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Progyny - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Progyny Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Progyny research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Progyny research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Progyny's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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