NuVasive Valuation

Is NUVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NUVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NUVA ($39.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($75.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NUVA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NUVA?

Key metric: As NUVA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NUVA. This is calculated by dividing NUVA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NUVA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio73.3x
EarningsUS$28.45m
Market CapUS$2.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NUVA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NUVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.8x
CNMD CONMED
16.8x13.8%US$2.2b
LMAT LeMaitre Vascular
57.6x12.2%US$2.3b
LIVN LivaNova
118.5x48.1%US$2.7b
INMD InMode
10.2x7.5%US$1.5b
NUVA NuVasive
73.3x46.2%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NUVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.3x) compared to the peer average (39.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NUVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHUA Meihua International Medical Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$16.93m
PAVM PAVmed
0.7x-77.8%US$10.72m
RTSL Rapid Therapeutic Science Laboratories
0.3xn/aUS$18.99k
UTRS Minerva Surgical
n/an/aUS$8.00
NUVA 73.3xIndustry Avg. 36.5xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NUVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.3x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (36.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NUVA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NUVA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio73.3x
Fair PE Ratio47.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NUVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NUVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Mar ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Jan ’25n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Oct ’24n/a
US$49.00
0%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Sep ’24US$39.75
US$49.00
+23.3%
11.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a8
Aug ’24US$40.84
US$49.06
+20.1%
11.8%US$58.00US$40.00n/a12
Jul ’24US$41.59
US$48.81
+17.4%
11.8%US$58.00US$40.00n/a12
Jun ’24US$38.55
US$48.81
+26.6%
11.8%US$58.00US$40.00n/a12
May ’24US$42.97
US$49.35
+14.9%
9.4%US$58.00US$44.00n/a12
Apr ’24US$41.31
US$49.02
+18.7%
9.8%US$58.00US$42.00n/a14
Mar ’24US$42.67
US$49.02
+14.9%
9.8%US$58.00US$42.00n/a14
Feb ’24US$46.56
US$47.53
+2.1%
12.6%US$63.00US$38.00n/a15
Jan ’24US$41.24
US$48.88
+18.5%
13.0%US$63.00US$38.00n/a16
Dec ’23US$40.00
US$48.88
+22.2%
13.0%US$63.00US$38.00n/a16
Nov ’23US$44.71
US$55.81
+24.8%
11.9%US$65.00US$45.00n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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