There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether NanoVibronix (NASDAQ:NAOV) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
Check out our latest analysis for NanoVibronix
Does NanoVibronix Have A Long Cash Runway?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When NanoVibronix last reported its balance sheet in September 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth US$8.6m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$4.8m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 21 months from September 2021. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is NanoVibronix's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
In our view, NanoVibronix doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just US$1.0m in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 55%. While this spending increase is no doubt intended to drive growth, if the trend continues the company's cash runway will shrink very quickly. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how NanoVibronix is building its business over time.
How Hard Would It Be For NanoVibronix To Raise More Cash For Growth?
Given its cash burn trajectory, NanoVibronix shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
NanoVibronix has a market capitalisation of US$25m and burnt through US$4.8m last year, which is 19% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.
So, Should We Worry About NanoVibronix's Cash Burn?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought NanoVibronix's cash runway was relatively promising. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. On another note, NanoVibronix has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
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About NasdaqCM:NAOV
NanoVibronix
Through its subsidiary, NanoVibronix Ltd., focuses on the non-invasive biological response-activating devices that target biofilm prevention, wound healing, and pain therapy in the United States, Israel, Europe, Australia, India, and internationally.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.