Stock Analysis

LumiraDx Limited's (NASDAQ:LMDX) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

OTCPK:LMDX.F
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LumiraDx Limited's (NASDAQ:LMDX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.5x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for LumiraDx

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:LMDX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does LumiraDx's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, LumiraDx's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think LumiraDx's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LumiraDx would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.4% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 8.9% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that LumiraDx's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of LumiraDx's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for LumiraDx (3 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.