Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Computer Programs and Systems (NASDAQ:CPSI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NasdaqGS:TBRG
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Computer Programs and Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CPSI) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Computer Programs and Systems

How Much Debt Does Computer Programs and Systems Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Computer Programs and Systems had US$76.8m of debt in December 2020, down from US$107.9m, one year before. However, it does have US$12.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$64.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CPSI Debt to Equity History March 31st 2021

A Look At Computer Programs and Systems' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Computer Programs and Systems had liabilities of US$37.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$88.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$12.7m and US$43.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$70.4m.

Of course, Computer Programs and Systems has a market capitalization of US$432.6m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Computer Programs and Systems has net debt worth 1.9 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.9 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. The bad news is that Computer Programs and Systems saw its EBIT decline by 16% over the last year. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Computer Programs and Systems's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Computer Programs and Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On our analysis Computer Programs and Systems's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, EBIT growth rate gives us cold feet. It's also worth noting that Computer Programs and Systems is in the Healthcare Services industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Computer Programs and Systems is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Computer Programs and Systems insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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