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Further Upside For Clover Health Investments, Corp. (NASDAQ:CLOV) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 36% Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Clover Health Investments, Corp. (NASDAQ:CLOV) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Clover Health Investments' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Clover Health Investments
What Does Clover Health Investments' Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Clover Health Investments has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Clover Health Investments' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Clover Health Investments would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 37% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.7% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Clover Health Investments is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does Clover Health Investments' P/S Mean For Investors?
Clover Health Investments appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Clover Health Investments' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Clover Health Investments that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:CLOV
Clover Health Investments
Provides medicare advantage plans in the United States.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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