Saputo Valuation

Is SAPI.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAPI.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAPI.F ($19.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAPI.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAPI.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SAPI.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAPI.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAPI.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.6x
PPC Pilgrim's Pride
26.4x15.3%US$8.5b
POST Post Holdings
21.2x14.8%US$6.4b
LANC Lancaster Colony
40.2x16.7%US$5.2b
FLO Flowers Foods
42.6x28.3%US$5.3b
SAPI.F Saputo
33.6x17.0%US$11.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAPI.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the peer average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAPI.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAPI.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the US Food industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAPI.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAPI.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAPI.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAPI.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.70
US$23.28
+18.2%
12.6%US$26.53US$18.05n/a10
Apr ’25US$19.56
US$23.28
+19.0%
12.6%US$26.53US$18.05n/a10
Mar ’25US$20.39
US$23.28
+14.2%
12.6%US$26.53US$18.05n/a10
Feb ’25US$20.59
US$24.27
+17.9%
13.0%US$29.88US$18.67n/a11
Jan ’25US$20.26
US$24.14
+19.1%
15.1%US$29.21US$18.26n/a10
Dec ’24US$19.19
US$24.14
+25.8%
15.1%US$29.21US$18.26n/a10
Nov ’24US$19.95
US$25.48
+27.7%
14.5%US$30.98US$18.81n/a10
Oct ’24US$21.02
US$25.48
+21.2%
14.5%US$30.98US$18.81n/a10
Sep ’24US$21.61
US$25.48
+17.9%
14.5%US$30.98US$18.81n/a10
Aug ’24US$21.12
US$26.98
+27.7%
12.5%US$31.89US$19.97n/a10
Jul ’24US$22.36
US$27.44
+22.7%
11.7%US$31.77US$20.05n/a9
Jun ’24US$25.69
US$30.04
+16.9%
13.9%US$33.84US$19.50n/a9
May ’24US$26.04
US$29.91
+14.8%
13.7%US$33.78US$19.46n/a9
Apr ’24US$25.86
US$29.91
+15.6%
13.7%US$33.78US$19.46US$19.569
Mar ’24US$27.02
US$30.22
+11.8%
14.1%US$34.18US$19.32US$20.399
Feb ’24US$27.34
US$28.71
+5.0%
12.9%US$32.68US$19.31US$20.599
Jan ’24US$24.75
US$28.64
+15.7%
12.9%US$33.02US$19.14US$20.269
Dec ’23US$24.60
US$28.64
+16.4%
12.9%US$33.02US$19.14US$19.199
Nov ’23US$24.47
US$27.36
+11.8%
12.9%US$30.82US$18.71US$19.959
Oct ’23US$24.39
US$28.92
+18.6%
13.0%US$32.29US$19.61US$21.029
Sep ’23US$25.37
US$28.92
+14.0%
13.0%US$32.29US$19.61US$21.619
Aug ’23US$24.72
US$26.58
+7.5%
12.5%US$30.29US$19.42US$21.129
Jul ’23US$21.80
US$26.12
+19.8%
13.2%US$30.26US$19.39US$22.369
Jun ’23US$20.48
US$26.87
+31.2%
12.2%US$30.52US$19.56US$25.699
May ’23US$21.41
US$27.04
+26.3%
11.9%US$30.42US$19.50US$26.049
Apr ’23US$23.71
US$27.86
+17.5%
12.0%US$31.14US$19.96US$25.869

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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