Nissin Foods Holdings Co.,Ltd.

OTCPK:NFPD.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.3b

Nissin Foods HoldingsLtd Valuation

Is NFPD.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NFPD.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$18.29
Fair Value
20.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NFPD.F ($22.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($18.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NFPD.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFPD.F?

Key metric: As NFPD.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFPD.F. This is calculated by dividing NFPD.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFPD.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
EarningsJP¥55.02b
Market CapJP¥906.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFPD.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFPD.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.2x
POST Post Holdings
16.9x12.01%US$6.1b
LW Lamb Weston Holdings
20.5x21.95%US$7.5b
CALM Cal-Maine Foods
4.6x-65.86%US$4.7b
LANC Lancaster Colony
26.8x8.76%US$4.6b
NFPD.F Nissin Foods HoldingsLtd
16.5x2.49%US$906.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFPD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFPD.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.02xn/aUS$9.65m
SEED Origin Agritech
2.9xn/aUS$8.39m
SDOT Sadot Group
1.3x-92.88%US$7.64m
HERB YaSheng Group
0.6xn/aUS$4.40m
NFPD.F 16.5xIndustry Avg. 19.1xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFPD.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFPD.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFPD.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NFPD.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFPD.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$28.88
0%
20.36%US$39.51US$21.49n/a9
May ’26US$20.05
US$29.69
+48.05%
20.14%US$38.29US$20.88n/a10
Apr ’26n/a
US$28.61
0%
19.90%US$36.73US$20.03n/a10
Mar ’26US$20.56
US$29.63
+44.13%
14.54%US$36.18US$20.39n/a10
Feb ’26n/a
US$31.15
0%
11.55%US$37.37US$25.77n/a10
Jan ’26n/a
US$32.30
0%
11.46%US$37.78US$26.06n/a11
Dec ’25n/a
US$32.39
0%
11.30%US$37.46US$25.83n/a10
Nov ’25n/a
US$33.83
0%
11.98%US$39.11US$26.07n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
US$36.36
0%
11.77%US$41.42US$28.08n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$36.17
0%
12.33%US$40.80US$27.66n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$34.19
0%
10.70%US$39.47US$28.01n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
US$33.13
0%
10.58%US$38.39US$27.25n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
US$34.97
0%
9.48%US$39.53US$28.05n/a11
May ’25n/a
US$36.25
0%
9.85%US$43.07US$30.02US$20.0511
Apr ’25n/a
US$37.94
0%
10.54%US$44.88US$31.28n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
US$37.75
0%
9.06%US$43.94US$30.63US$20.569
Feb ’25n/a
US$38.71
0%
7.51%US$44.71US$33.87n/a9
Jan ’25US$33.96
US$39.06
+15.01%
6.33%US$42.18US$35.15n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
US$35.99
0%
11.76%US$40.85US$28.37n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$32.53
0%
8.20%US$35.90US$27.87n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
US$31.68
0%
9.37%US$36.07US$28.18n/a8
Sep ’24n/a
US$31.64
0%
9.11%US$36.57US$28.57n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
US$30.83
0%
8.94%US$35.12US$26.57n/a9
Jul ’24n/a
US$30.83
0%
8.94%US$35.12US$26.57n/a9
Jun ’24n/a
US$31.11
0%
10.64%US$36.50US$26.42n/a9
May ’24n/a
US$32.16
0%
9.02%US$37.73US$27.31n/a9
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
US$29.73
Fair Value
25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/28 07:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/21 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nissin Foods Holdings Co.,Ltd. is covered by 23 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takayuki HayanoBarclays
Shumpei KanekoBofA Global Research
Ahmad HalimCFRA Equity Research