Maple Leaf Foods Inc.

OTCPK:MLFN.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Maple Leaf Foods Valuation

Is MLFN.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MLFN.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MLFN.F ($15.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($88.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MLFN.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLFN.F?

Key metric: As MLFN.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MLFN.F. This is calculated by dividing MLFN.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MLFN.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio81.9x
EarningsCA$33.74m
Market CapCA$2.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLFN.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLFN.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
KLG WK Kellogg Co
21.8x24.2%US$1.5b
TR Tootsie Roll Industries
24.8xn/aUS$2.3b
NOMD Nomad Foods
12.5x17.7%US$2.6b
DOLE Dole
9.5x-0.4%US$1.4b
MLFN.F Maple Leaf Foods
81.9xn/aUS$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLFN.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (81.9x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLFN.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$44.41m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.8xn/aUS$15.49m
FAMI Farmmi
1.8xn/aUS$2.80m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
MLFN.F 81.9xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLFN.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (81.9x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLFN.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLFN.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio81.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MLFN.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLFN.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.73
US$21.34
+35.7%
9.7%US$24.90US$18.49n/a5
Nov ’25US$15.25
US$22.27
+46.1%
7.9%US$25.64US$20.52n/a5
Oct ’25US$16.35
US$22.14
+35.4%
7.9%US$25.49US$20.39n/a5
Sep ’25US$16.53
US$22.14
+33.9%
7.9%US$25.49US$20.39n/a5
Aug ’25US$18.57
US$22.76
+22.6%
8.4%US$26.43US$21.29n/a5
Jul ’25US$16.73
US$21.87
+30.7%
3.0%US$22.72US$21.26n/a6
Jun ’25US$16.56
US$21.87
+32.0%
3.0%US$22.72US$21.26n/a6
May ’25US$17.64
US$22.26
+26.2%
5.3%US$24.45US$21.16n/a7
Apr ’25US$16.47
US$22.77
+38.2%
5.3%US$24.80US$21.47n/a6
Mar ’25US$16.96
US$22.77
+34.2%
5.3%US$24.80US$21.47n/a6
Feb ’25US$19.29
US$26.17
+35.7%
8.7%US$29.70US$23.02n/a6
Jan ’25US$18.99
US$25.43
+33.9%
8.4%US$29.06US$22.52n/a6
Dec ’24US$18.08
US$25.43
+40.6%
8.4%US$29.06US$22.52n/a6
Nov ’24US$19.94
US$27.13
+36.0%
6.0%US$29.33US$24.19US$15.256
Oct ’24US$19.36
US$27.13
+40.1%
6.0%US$29.33US$24.19US$16.356
Sep ’24US$21.62
US$27.71
+28.1%
5.2%US$29.82US$25.35US$16.536
Aug ’24US$20.77
US$25.12
+20.9%
11.7%US$29.61US$20.50US$18.576
Jul ’24US$19.50
US$24.51
+25.7%
11.7%US$28.96US$20.05US$16.736
Jun ’24US$18.84
US$24.51
+30.1%
11.7%US$28.96US$20.05US$16.566
May ’24US$20.42
US$23.87
+16.9%
13.6%US$28.79US$19.93US$17.646
Apr ’24US$19.26
US$22.89
+18.9%
14.7%US$28.19US$18.80US$16.476
Mar ’24US$20.55
US$23.85
+16.1%
13.0%US$28.77US$19.18US$16.966
Feb ’24US$19.30
US$23.98
+24.2%
13.2%US$29.07US$19.38US$19.296
Jan ’24US$18.07
US$23.77
+31.5%
13.2%US$28.82US$19.21US$18.996
Dec ’23US$18.85
US$23.77
+26.1%
13.2%US$28.82US$19.21US$18.086
Nov ’23US$15.14
US$23.61
+56.0%
13.2%US$28.63US$19.09US$19.946

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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