How does GDNG.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

GDNG.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

How does GDNG.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tobacco Industry?

GDNG.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the Global Tobacco industry average (12.1x).

What is GDNG.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GDNG.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x).

What is the Fair Price of GDNG.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GDNG.Y ($3.25) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($9.56)

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Insufficient data to show price forecast.

GDNG.Y Stock Overview

Engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. More details

GDNG.Y fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	4/6
Future Growth	3/6
Past Performance	1/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

Rewards

Trading at 66% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 30.42% per year

Risk Analysis

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market

Profit margins (1.7%) are lower than last year (5.1%)

My Notes

Capture your thoughts, links and company narrative

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Competitors

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Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Gudang Garam
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	Rp3.25
52 Week High	Rp5.50
52 Week Low	Rp2.90
Beta	0.45
1 Month Change	-4.41%
3 Month Change	-22.43%
1 Year Change	-39.08%
3 Year Change	-60.98%
5 Year Change	-79.17%
Change since IPO	-78.83%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	GDNG.Y	US Tobacco	US Market
7D	5.9%	3.4%	0.6%
1Y	-39.1%	0.1%	23.8%

Return vs Industry: GDNG.Y underperformed the US Tobacco industry which returned 1.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GDNG.Y underperformed the US Market which returned 24.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GDNG.Y's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GDNG.Y volatility
GDNG.Y Average Weekly Movement	13.3%
Tobacco Industry Average Movement	7.1%
Market Average Movement	6.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	17.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: GDNG.Y's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GDNG.Y's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1958	31,155	Susilo Wonowidjojo	www.gudanggaramtbk.com

PT Gudang Garam Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through Cigarettes, Paperboards, Infrastructure, and Others segments. It offers hand-rolled, machine-made, and klobot clove cigarettes.

PT Gudang Garam Tbk Fundamentals Summary

How do Gudang Garam's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GDNG.Y fundamental statistics
Market cap	US$1.57b
Earnings (TTM)	US$114.55m
Revenue (TTM)	US$6.84b

13.7x

P/E Ratio

0.2x

P/S Ratio

Is GDNG.Y overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GDNG.Y income statement (TTM)
Revenue	Rp111.10t
Cost of Revenue	Rp100.60t
Gross Profit	Rp10.50t
Other Expenses	Rp8.64t
Earnings	Rp1.86t

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	966.46
Gross Margin	9.45%
Net Profit Margin	1.67%
Debt/Equity Ratio	7.3%

How did GDNG.Y perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 14:39
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PT Gudang Garam Tbk is covered by 30 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Swati Chopra	BofA Global Research
Irenne Achmad	CGS International
Jason Chandra	CGS International

Gudang Garam OTCPK:GDNG.Y Stock Report