When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider The Boston Beer Company, Inc. (NYSE:SAM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 50.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Boston Beer Company certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Keen to find out how analysts think Boston Beer Company's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Boston Beer Company's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 182% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 52% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 34% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Boston Beer Company's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Boston Beer Company maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Boston Beer Company with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Boston Beer Company, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:SAM
Boston Beer Company
Produces and sells alcohol beverages primarily in the United States.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.