Stock Analysis

Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de (NYSE:KOF) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:KOF
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:KOF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Coca-Cola FEMSA. de

How Much Debt Does Coca-Cola FEMSA. de Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had Mex$86.2b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has Mex$49.4b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$36.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:KOF Debt to Equity History June 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had liabilities of Mex$60.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$99.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$49.4b and Mex$17.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$93.8b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Coca-Cola FEMSA. de is worth a massive Mex$247.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.0 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.6 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. If Coca-Cola FEMSA. de can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coca-Cola FEMSA. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Given Coca-Cola FEMSA. de has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.