Zephyr Energy plc

OTCPK:ZPHR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$58.3m

Zephyr Energy Valuation

Is ZPHR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZPHR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZPHR.F ($0.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZPHR.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZPHR.F?

Key metric: As ZPHR.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ZPHR.F. This is calculated by dividing ZPHR.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ZPHR.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.5x
SalesUS$23.49m
Market CapUS$58.30m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ZPHR.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ZPHR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5x
USEG U.S. Energy
2.2x20.8%US$52.0m
PED PEDEVCO
2.1x21.4%US$77.9m
NRT North European Oil Royalty Trust
7.4xn/aUS$40.0m
CRT Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
8.4xn/aUS$65.8m
ZPHR.F Zephyr Energy
2.5x37.3%US$46.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ZPHR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ZPHR.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

37 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSX Phillips 66
0.4x-5.4%US$55.04b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.4x-3.6%US$50.93b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x-2.7%US$44.61b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.2x-2.1%US$12.62b
ZPHR.F 2.5xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies37PS01.63.24.86.48+
37 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ZPHR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZPHR.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZPHR.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ZPHR.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZPHR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.034
US$0.17
+400.0%
2.5%US$0.17US$0.16n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.041
US$0.19
+353.2%
9.0%US$0.21US$0.17n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.19
0%
9.0%US$0.21US$0.17n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.044
US$0.17
+283.9%
6.5%US$0.18US$0.15n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.06
US$0.17
+183.9%
6.5%US$0.18US$0.15n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.15
0%
8.8%US$0.17US$0.14n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.062
US$0.16
+158.0%
12.1%US$0.19US$0.14n/a3
May ’25US$0.055
US$0.17
+206.9%
9.8%US$0.19US$0.15n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.06
US$0.17
+181.3%
9.8%US$0.19US$0.15n/a2
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.21
0%
1.2%US$0.21US$0.20n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.03
US$0.21
+585.6%
1.2%US$0.21US$0.20n/a2
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.20
0%
1.2%US$0.21US$0.20n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.20
0%
1.2%US$0.20US$0.20n/a2
Nov ’24US$0.038
US$0.20
+415.5%
1.2%US$0.20US$0.19US$0.0412
Oct ’24US$0.035
US$0.21
+499.6%
4.7%US$0.22US$0.20n/a2
Sep ’24US$0.041
US$0.22
+439.1%
3.4%US$0.23US$0.21US$0.0442
Aug ’24US$0.055
US$0.22
+303.5%
3.4%US$0.23US$0.21US$0.062
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
3.4%US$0.23US$0.21n/a2
Jun ’24US$0.043
US$0.23
+437.4%
8.1%US$0.25US$0.21US$0.0622
May ’24US$0.053
US$0.22
+313.6%
8.1%US$0.24US$0.20US$0.0552
Apr ’24US$0.065
US$0.22
+237.2%
8.1%US$0.24US$0.20US$0.062
Mar ’24US$0.07
US$0.22
+216.9%
8.1%US$0.24US$0.20n/a2
Feb ’24US$0.095
US$0.22
+126.9%
11.1%US$0.24US$0.19US$0.032
Dec ’23US$0.07
US$0.17
+143.7%
13.1%US$0.19US$0.15n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Hafnia

NOK 30.3b

Owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda.

HAFN

NOK 5.36

7D

-0.6%

1Y

-18.9%

DorianG

US$1.1b

Engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide.

LPG

US$25.42

7D

-3.1%

1Y

-42.4%

Aker BP

NOK 144.6b

Explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.

AKRB.F

NOK 21.57

7D

4.0%

1Y

-24.6%