Pharos Energy Valuation

Is SOCL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SOCL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SOCL.F ($0.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SOCL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SOCL.F?

Key metric: As SOCL.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SOCL.F. This is calculated by dividing SOCL.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SOCL.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$137.60m
Market CapUS$111.25m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SOCL.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SOCL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4x
MVO MV Oil Trust
5.3xn/aUS$100.9m
EPM Evolution Petroleum
2.2xn/aUS$187.9m
EPSN Epsilon Energy
4.1x9.2%US$126.1m
PHX PHX Minerals
4.4x29.6%US$143.2m
SOCL.F Pharos Energy
0.8x-8.0%US$88.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SOCL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SOCL.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

38 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSX Phillips 66
0.4x-5.4%US$55.44b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.3x-3.6%US$50.50b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x-2.7%US$44.26b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.3x-2.1%US$12.43b
SOCL.F 0.8xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies38PS01.63.24.86.48+
38 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SOCL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SOCL.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SOCL.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SOCL.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SOCL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$0.59
0%
33.7%US$0.80US$0.32n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.59
0%
33.7%US$0.80US$0.32n/a3
Oct ’25US$0.30
US$0.59
+98.0%
33.7%US$0.80US$0.32n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.49
0%
34.0%US$0.65US$0.26n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.49
0%
34.0%US$0.65US$0.26n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.49
0%
34.4%US$0.64US$0.25n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.27
US$0.49
+80.3%
34.4%US$0.64US$0.25n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$0.48
0%
34.2%US$0.63US$0.25n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.48
0%
34.2%US$0.63US$0.25n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.49
0%
34.4%US$0.64US$0.25n/a3
Feb ’25US$0.28
US$0.50
+81.7%
28.5%US$0.64US$0.30n/a3
Jan ’25US$0.28
US$0.54
+92.5%
24.8%US$0.69US$0.37n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.54
0%
24.5%US$0.69US$0.37n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.54
0%
24.5%US$0.69US$0.37n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.47
0%
34.5%US$0.69US$0.30US$0.304
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.48
0%
35.2%US$0.71US$0.30n/a4
Aug ’24US$0.29
US$0.48
+62.8%
35.2%US$0.71US$0.30n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.48
0%
33.1%US$0.70US$0.30n/a4
Jun ’24US$0.28
US$0.47
+72.0%
32.0%US$0.68US$0.30US$0.274
May ’24US$0.29
US$0.48
+63.5%
31.8%US$0.68US$0.30n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.47
0%
31.4%US$0.68US$0.30n/a4
Mar ’24US$0.34
US$0.47
+36.7%
31.1%US$0.67US$0.30n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.47
0%
32.1%US$0.67US$0.29US$0.284
Jan ’24US$0.30
US$0.55
+83.4%
38.2%US$0.81US$0.29US$0.284
Dec ’23US$0.33
US$0.55
+63.9%
38.2%US$0.81US$0.29n/a4
Nov ’23US$0.29
US$0.55
+85.1%
38.2%US$0.81US$0.29n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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