How does REGX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

REGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).

How does REGX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

REGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.6x).

What is REGX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

Insufficient data to calculate REGX's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

What is the Fair Price of REGX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

REGX ($3.8) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($4.01)

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Insufficient data to show price forecast.

REGX Stock Overview

Produces and sells fuel grade ethanol, distiller’s grains, and corn oil in the continental United States. More details

REGX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	1/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	2/6
Financial Health	5/6
Dividends	3/6

Rewards

Trading at 5.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 6.58% is not well covered by earnings or cash flows

Shares are highly illiquid

Profit margins (2.9%) are lower than last year (6%)

My Notes

Capture your thoughts, links and company narrative

Red Trail Energy, LLC Competitors

Lake Area Corn Processors

OTCPK:LKCR.U

US$177.7m

FutureFuel

NYSE:FF

US$223.2m

Cardinal Ethanol

OTCPK:CRDE

US$252.7m

Highwater Ethanol

OTCPK:HEOL

US$74.9m

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Red Trail Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$3.80
52 Week High	US$3.90
52 Week Low	US$3.70
Beta	-0.68
1 Month Change	0%
3 Month Change	n/a
1 Year Change	n/a
3 Year Change	n/a
5 Year Change	280.00%
Change since IPO	660.00%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	REGX	US Oil and Gas	US Market
7D	0%	-5.1%	-2.4%
1Y	n/a	2.7%	23.4%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how REGX performed against the US Oil and Gas industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how REGX performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is REGX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
REGX volatility
REGX Average Weekly Movement	n/a
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement	5.4%
Market Average Movement	6.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: REGX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.

Volatility Over Time: Insufficient data to determine REGX's volatility change over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2003	49	Jodi Johnson	redtrailenergy.com

Red Trail Energy, LLC produces and sells fuel grade ethanol, distiller’s grains, and corn oil in the continental United States. The company offers ethyl alcohol, a fuel component made primarily from corn and various other grains that could be used as an octane enhancer in fuels; an oxygenated fuel additive in reducing ozone and carbon monoxide vehicle emissions; and a non-petroleum-based gasoline substitute. It also offers two forms of distiller’s grains, which are distillers dried grains and modified distillers’ grains primarily for the dairy, beef, poultry, and swine industries; and corn oil for animal feed, industrial uses, and biodiesel production.

Red Trail Energy, LLC Fundamentals Summary

How do Red Trail Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
REGX fundamental statistics
Market cap	US$152.56m
Earnings (TTM)	US$5.86m
Revenue (TTM)	US$198.60m

26.0x

P/E Ratio

0.8x

P/S Ratio

Is REGX overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
REGX income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$198.60m
Cost of Revenue	US$186.83m
Gross Profit	US$11.77m
Other Expenses	US$5.91m
Earnings	US$5.86m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2023

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.15
Gross Margin	5.93%
Net Profit Margin	2.95%
Debt/Equity Ratio	28.1%

How did REGX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.6%

Current Dividend Yield

171%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/05/15 13:56
End of Day Share Price	2024/02/16 00:00
Earnings	2023/12/31
Annual Earnings	2023/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Red Trail Energy, LLC is covered by 0 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution